Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction: NFL Week 13 Odds, Betting Picks

Nick Hennion Nov 29, 2024, 11:04 AM

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Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins warms up before an NFL football game against the Las Vegas Raiders, Sunday, Oct. 27, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)

(AP Photo/Rick Scuteri)

The Chiefs are a 13-point home favorite against the Raiders.
The Chiefs have won 12 straight games against opponents on a losing streak.
My Chiefs vs. Raiders prediction focuses on the Chiefs team total.

On Black Friday, the Chiefs will host the Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in an AFC West clash.

Kansas City got back to winning ways in Week 12, albeit in dramatic fashion. As double-digit favorites in Carolina, the Chiefs captured a 30-27 on a game-winning field goal.

Las Vegas, meanwhile, struggled at home against the Broncos. The Raiders fell 29-19 as home underdogs, failing to cover the spread for the third straight game.

Bet on Chiefs vs. Raiders and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.

NFL Week 13 Odds: Chiefs vs. Raiders

Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction

Based on Las Vegas’ porous defensive record away from home, my Chiefs vs. Raiders prediction is the Chiefs Over 29.5 Points (+110).

Patrick Mahomes said something interesting after the Carolina game.

“You want to have some blowouts,” Mahomes said. “You want to be a little calmer in the fourth quarter.”

To me, that reads as a signal to the offense to try and rack up points in order to help the defense.

Maybe the timing of that sentiment is notable as the Chiefs prepare to face a Raiders defense ranking 29th in defensive DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com.

Over their last three games, the Raiders surrendered 41, 34 and 29 points, with the former two results coming away from home.

This season, the Raiders have allowed five teams to eclipse 30 points. Away from home, they’ve allowed 30+ in three of six contests.

Although the Chiefs have only cleared this number twice, this matchup marks their first home game against a bottom-five defense by defensive DVOA.

Still, they’ve managed a whopping 25 points per game at home. Against the Bengals defense – their easiest opponent up until this point – Kansas City scored 26 points.

But that game came without DeAndre Hopkins, who has clearly provided a boost to the offense.

Add in the chance Isiah Pacheco returns from injury for this game, and I expect the Chiefs offense runs rampant.

Take the over on an alternate team total and consider a smaller wager on Chiefs Over 31.5 Points (+175).