- College Football Win Totals are now posted at BetMGM for all power conference teams.
- College Football Over/Under Wins 2026: Notre Dame, Texas Tech, and Miami lead the way.
Late spring might not seem like an important time in the college football calendar, but it’s one of my absolute favorite parts of the year. That’s when the BetMGM online sportsbook released a crucial piece of the college football betting odds market: College Football Win Totals.
With the 2026 season now around the corner, you can scour the sportsbook, examining win total projections for every single P4 team before kickoff.
College Football Win Totals 2026
| Team | Current Win Total | Over Vig | Under Vig | Conference Odds |
| Notre Dame | 11.5 | +150 | -200 | N/A |
| Texas Tech | 10.5 | -220 | +170 | -110 |
| Miami (FL) | 10.5 | -125 | +100 | -135 |
| Indiana | 10.5 | +110 | -130 | +250 |
| Oregon | 10.5 | +100 | -120 | +300 |
| Georgia | 10.5 | +140 | -165 | +320 |
| Ohio State | 9.5 | -175 | +145 | +180 |
| Texas | 9.5 | +115 | -140 | +300 |
| Penn State | 9.5 | +125 | -150 | +2000 |
| BYU | 8.5 | -155 | +130 | +600 |
| SMU | 8.5 | -140 | +115 | +700 |
| Utah | 8.5 | -135 | +105 | +700 |
| Alabama | 8.5 | -130 | +110 | +850 |
| LSU | 8.5 | -110 | -118 | +650 |
| Texas A&M | 8.5 | +100 | -120 | +800 |
| Kansas State | 8.5 | +100 | -120 | +1500 |
| USC | 8.5 | +110 | -135 | +1500 |
| Michigan | 8.5 | +130 | -155 | +1000 |
Notre Dame Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Notre Dame football win total is 11.5.
Notre Dame’s status as the only team with a win total of 11.5 makes its handicap rather simple. Can the Irish go 12-0 against what appears to be a relatively easy schedule, full of bad P4 teams and good G6 squads?
Texas Tech Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Texas Tech football win total is 10.5.
The Big 12 is a topsy-turvy conference with plenty of year-to-year parity, so betting Texas Tech football odds at the top of the market is functionally a bet that the Red Raiders’ NIL infrastructure is too much for the rest of the conference to overcome.
Don’t sleep on quarterback Will Hammond, who is quietly moving up the Heisman board.
Over 10.5 @ -145 Under 10.5 @ +120Miami (FL) Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Miami football win total is 10.5.
The Hurricanes broke through with a national championship game appearance in 2025, and expectations are through the roof for 2026. Can the only good football team in South Beach deliver?
Indiana Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Indiana football win total is 10.5.
If you want my opinion – It’s Curt Cignetti’s world, and we’re all just living in it.
Over 10.5 @ +100 Under 10.5 @ -120Oregon Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Oregon football win total is 10.5.
Oregon lost multiple coordinators during this offseason cycle, but the Ducks are still young, energetic, and loaded with talent.
Georgia Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Georgia football win total is 10.5.
Georgia is among the SEC programs that has suffered most in the 12-team playoff era, losing early games as favorites.
That postseason disappointment has masked the consistency that the Bulldogs have shown in the regular season. Georgia has won at least 10 games in the regular season for five consecutive seasons.
Over 10.5 @ +160 Under 10.5 @ -190Ohio State Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Ohio State football win total is 9.5.
A bit curious for the preseason national championship favorite to have a win total of 9.5, no?
Go take a look at that schedule. By the time December rolls around, Ohio State will either be an undeniable, ironclad championship contender, or the Buckeyes going to miss the playoff. With this difficult schedule, it’s hard to imagine any other outcomes.
Texas Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Texas football win total is 9.5.
Texas is looking for a reset after badly missing expectations in 2025.
Over 9.5 @ +400 Under 9.5 @ -550Penn State Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Penn State football win total is 9.5.
For years, head coach Matt Campbell won a lot of games at a non-traditional program. Now, he’s getting big checks and 100,000-man whiteouts. Can he deliver the solution for Penn State’s glass ceiling?
Alabama Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Alabama football win total is 8.5.
The SEC’s depth remains impressive, and one unavoidable place that now hits home is Kalen DeBoer’s Alabama program.
Alabama’s schedule is quite difficult this year. Like Ohio State, this team will either have an incredible resume, or it’s going to be sitting at home in December.
LSU Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Oregon football win total is 8.5.
If I’ve learned one thing during my time as a blog boy at BetMGM, it’s that people in Louisiana are gonna bet on the Tigers.
After the Lane Kiffin move, LSU football odds are popular outside of the state this year, too. But an 8.5 win total still seems cautious – especially given the super-powered coaching staff Kiffin now has at his disposal.
Over 8.5 @ +110 Under 8.5 @ -135Michigan Football Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Michigan football win total is 8.5.
Kyle Whittingham ran a team in Salt Lake City for two decades based on power and ball control. That’s exactly what Michigan wants to do in the Big Ten, making him arguably the strongest hire of this offseason.
Remaining P4 Schools: College Football Over/Under Wins
| Team | Current Win Total | Over Vig | Under Vig | Conference Odds |
| Louisville | 8.5 | +120 | -145 | +900 |
| Houston | 8.5 | +120 | -145 | +1800 |
| Ole Miss | 8.5 | +130 | -155 | +1000 |
| Washington | 7.5 | -160 | +125 | +3000 |
| Oklahoma | 7.5 | -155 | +130 | +1200 |
| Clemson | 7.5 | -145 | +120 | +1600 |
| Pittsburgh | 7.5 | -145 | +120 | +1700 |
| Virginia | 7.5 | -145 | +120 | +1700 |
| Iowa | 7.5 | -145 | +110 | +8000 |
| Tennessee | 7.5 | -120 | +100 | +2000 |
| NC State | 7.5 | +100 | -120 | +2500 |
| Arizona | 7.5 | +110 | -135 | +2000 |
| Florida | 7.5 | +130 | -155 | +2000 |
| Illinois | 7.5 | +130 | -170 | +20000 |
| Virginia Tech | 6.5 | -175 | +145 | +2200 |
| TCU | 6.5 | -175 | +145 | +2000 |
| Wisconsin | 6.5 | -135 | +105 | +15000 |
| Auburn | 6.5 | -125 | +105 | +4000 |
| Arizona State | 6.5 | -120 | +100 | +2000 |
| Missouri | 6.5 | -115 | -105 | +3000 |
| Oklahoma State | 6.5 | +100 | -130 | +3000 |
| UCLA | 6.5 | +100 | -125 | +10000 |
| California | 6.5 | +110 | -135 | +2800 |
| South Carolina | 6.5 | +110 | -135 | +5500 |
| Georgia Tech | 6.5 | +115 | -140 | +3500 |
| Nebraska | 6.5 | +120 | -155 | +10000 |
| Minnesota | 6.5 | +130 | -170 | +30000 |
| Baylor | 6.5 | +160 | -190 | +2800 |
| Florida State | 6.5 | +165 | -200 | +3500 |
| West Virginia | 5.5 | -175 | +145 | +6600 |
| UCF | 5.5 | -155 | +130 | +5000 |
| Kansas | 5.5 | -150 | +125 | +3000 |
| Vanderbilt | 5.5 | -145 | +120 | +8000 |
| Duke | 5.5 | -135 | +110 | +6600 |
| Wake Forest | 5.5 | -130 | +110 | +8000 |
| Nebraska | 5.5 | +120 | -155 | +10000 |
| Cincinnati | 5.5 | +130 | -155 | +6000 |
| Maryland | 4.5 | -185 | +140 | +15000 |
| Kentucky | 4.5 | -155 | +130 | +15000 |
| Rutgers | 4.5 | -155 | +120 | +30000 |
| Iowa State | 4.5 | -145 | +120 | +6600 |
| Mississippi State | 4.5 | -120 | +100 | +20000 |
| Syracuse | 4.5 | -115 | -105 | +10000 |
| North Carolina | 4.5 | -115 | -105 | +12500 |
| Colorado | 4.5 | +125 | -150 | +8000 |
| Michigan State | 4.5 | +145 | -190 | +30000 |
| Arkansas | 3.5 | -155 | +130 | +20000 |
| Stanford | 3.5 | -125 | +105 | +25000 |
| Purdue | 3.5 | +115 | -145 | +30000 |
| Boston College | 3.5 | +115 | -140 | +30000 |
Ole Miss Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Ole Miss football win total is 8.5.
Ole Miss returns a veteran Heisman favorite at quarterback and made it to the CFP semifinals last year. The original win total market of 7.5 didn’t think the Rebels could go 8-4? This price smells of post-Kiffin bias to me.
Over 8.5 @ -200 Under 8.5 @ +165Houston Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Houston football win total is 8.5.
The Cougars are a serious Big 12 contender in Year 3 of Willie Fritz’s tenure, but five conference road games – including at Utah and at Texas Tech – may explain why the win total began in more modest territory than other top programs.
Louisville Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Louisville football win total is 8.5.
Jeff Brohm is entering his fourth year with his alma mater, Louisville, and he’s won at least eight games each season so far. This year, in addition to the annual rivalry game against Kentucky, the Cards must also contend with Ole Miss in a Week 1 game in Nashville, Tennessee.
Washington Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Washington football win total is 7.5.
If you like the Washington over, you’ll likely need to hit your number before the final two weeks of the season. The Huskies close with Indiana and Oregon, with the latter game in Eugene. A win against either opponent could put Washington in the CFP.
Pitt Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Pitt football win total is 7.5.
Some fans are bullish on Pitt’s schedule this year. Notre Dame is off the schedule, and the ACC rotation misses Clemson and SMU.
Personally, I think that’s overly dismissive of the teams Pitt faces in the heart of its schedule in late October and early November. Pitt’s final five opponents are at Miami, Georgia Tech, Florida State, at Louisville, and at Cal. That could be 0-5.
Over 7.5 @ +155 Under 7.5 @ -185Virginia Win Total 2026
- The 2026 UVA football win total is 7.5.
Tony Elliott broke through in Year 4 with the Cavaliers, winning 11 games and playing for an ACC championship.
They’re an obvious negative regression candidate this year. The question is how much they’ll fall back. Early games against NC State (originally scheduled as a neutral-site contest but now a home game) and West Virginia (played in Charlotte) should provide an indication where this market is going.
Iowa Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Iowa football win total is 7.5.
Iowa has won at least eight games in six of its last seven full-length seasons. (The Hawkeyes were 6-2 in the Covid-shortened 2020 season.)
Oklahoma Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Oklahoma football win total is 7.5.
The Sooners finished 10-2 last season and made the College Football Playoff, losing games against Ole Miss and archrival Texas. They return quarterback John Mateer and OC Ben Arbuckle, along with a strong defensive back end.
The market is expecting regression, but Oklahoma football odds are a buy candidate for me.
Clemson Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Clemson football win total is 7.5.
The long, slow demise of Dabo Swinney’s Clemson program continues.
Over 7.5 @ +125 Under 7.5 @ -150Tennessee Win Total 2026
- The 2026 Tennessee football win total is 7.5.
Tennessee is a legitimate sleeper this year. The Vols added Jim Knowles as defensive coordinator this offseason, which could make them one of the strongest units in the SEC – particularly in the second half of the season, when their more challenging games start to manifest on the schedule.
There are definitely question marks here. But if freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon can play, watch out.
NC State Win Total 2026
- The 2026 NC State football win total is 7.5.
All Dave Doeren does is win eight games.
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