- The Eagles are -6 point favorites vs the Commanders
- Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX | FOXD
The Washington Commanders visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles on Jan. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Philadelphia, PA, USA.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this NFC Championship matchup, with the spread sitting at -6 (-115).
The Commanders vs. Eagles Over/Under is 47.5 total points for the game.
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Commanders vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Commanders | +6 -105 | 47.5 -110 | +240 |
| Eagles | -6 -115 | 47.5 -110 | -300 |
Commanders vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 61.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Commanders vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Commanders will cover the spread with 58.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Commanders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Commanders Player Prop Bets Today
- Austin Seibert has hit the Field Goals Over in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 85% ROI)
- Austin Ekeler has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jayden Daniels has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 65% ROI)
- Jayden Daniels has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.85 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jayden Daniels has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.80 Units / 79% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.95 Units / 63% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 55% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | +375 |
| Jalen Hurts (Phi) | +525 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -118 |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | 38.5 -110 | 38.5 -118 |
| Terry McLaurin (WAS) | 64.5 -115 | 64.5 -115 |
| Austin Ekeler (WAS) | 22.5 -110 | 22.5 -118 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Commanders
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 128.5 -115 | 128.5 -115 |
| Austin Ekeler (WAS) | 19.5 -115 | 19.5 -115 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 29.5 -130 | 29.5 +100 |
Commanders Best Bets:
- The Washington Commanders have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+13.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+7.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Commanders have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Commanders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Commanders art 12-6 (+5.45 Units / 25.89% ROI).
- Commanders are 14-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 28.72% ROI
- Commanders are 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
- Commanders are 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 12-7 (+4.25 Units / 20.14% ROI).
- Eagles are 16-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.1 Units / 22.38% ROI
- Eagles are 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
- Eagles are 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
Washington Commanders: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Commanders were 5-3 (.625) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season — 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Commanders were undefeated (5-0) when the opposing team commits 60 yards or more in penalties. this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .560.
The Commanders were 6-1 (.857) when the opposing team converts less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season — T-7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .599.
The Commanders were 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season — 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .571.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Commanders
The Eagles were 13-2 (.867) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Commanders allowed an average of 138.0 rushing yards per game this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Eagles were 11-1 (.917) when not throwing an interception this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Commanders intercepted 7 passes this season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.
The Eagles were 9-1 (.900) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles scored on 19.1% of their drives in the first quarter this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Commanders defense allowed scores on 22.6% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — 5th-best in NFL.
Eagles RBs rushed for 10 or more yards on 12.6% of 453 carries this season — T-4th-best in NFL. The Commanders allowed 10+ yards on 13.2% of carries to RBs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles scored on 51.1% of their drives in the second half this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Commanders defense allowed scores on 55.8% of opponent drives in the second half this season — worst in NFL.
The Commanders threw the ball just 47.7% of the time this season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Eagles allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback this season — best in NFL.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 54.3% of rush attempts against a light front this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles allowed successful plays on 50.0% of rush attempts with a light front this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Commanders have run successful plays on 52.3% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Eagles have allowed successful plays on 52.6% of rush attempts with a light front since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Washington Commanders Offense: Important Stats
The Commanders ran 22% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Commanders averaged 0.56 epa per play against a stacked front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.09.
The Commanders started 10 drives inside their own 20 yard line in the 2nd half this season — fewest in NFL.
The Commanders ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts in the 2nd half in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles threw the ball 40% of the time (448 Pass Attempts/1,114 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Eagles averaged 13.8 yards per play against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.9.
The Eagles ran the ball on 39% of plays (93 carries/236 plays) on 3rd down this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 25%.
The Eagles started 27 drives inside opposing territory this season — most in NFL.
Washington Commanders Defense: Important Stats
The Commanders defense allowed a passer rating of just 10.5 when the opposing QB was scrambling (43 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 64.8.
The Commanders defense allowed scores on 56% of opponent drives in the 2nd half this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Commanders defense has allowed 1.9 TD passes per game (64/34) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.4.
The Commanders defense allowed opponents to catch just 69 of 122 passes (57% Reception Pct) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 69%.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 44% of pass attempts first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts from their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Eagles defense allowed just 5.8 yards per play against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.5.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 52% of pass attempts open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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