Eagles vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

min read
Giants player number 8 holding a NFL game ball.
(AP Photo/Michael Ainsworth)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 07, 2024, 9:37 AM
  • The Eagles are -5 point favorites vs the Giants
  • Total (Over/Under): 41 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Philadelphia Eagles (7-7) visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants (7-8) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in East Rutherford, NJ.

The Eagles are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -5 (-110).

The Eagles vs. Giants Over/Under is 41 total points for the game.

Bet now on Giants vs Eagles & all NFL games with BetMGM

Eagles vs. Giants Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Eagles-5 -11041 -110-250
Giants +5 -11041 -110+195

Eagles vs. Giants Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this Week 18 game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Giants Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 78.2% confidence.


Bet now on Giants vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM


Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Quez Watkins has hit the Longest Reception Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • DeVonta Smith has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 88% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • A.J. Brown has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Giants players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Isaiah Hodgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Darius Slayton has hit the Longest Reception Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Saquon Barkley has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Daniel Bellinger has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have scored first in 16 of their last 21 games (+8.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.05 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 102% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games (+4.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 19 games (+3.95 Units / 20% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles went 7-7 (-0.85 Units / -4.76% ROI).

  • Eagles are 11-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.8 Units / -6.36% ROI
  • Eagles are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • Eagles are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants went 7-8 (-1.7 Units / -9.74% ROI).

  • Giants are 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -9.86% ROI
  • Giants are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
  • Giants are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Eagles are 5-1 (.833) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — 8th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 133.0 rushing yards per game this season — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are 15-1 (.938) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 139.2 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are undefeated (11-0) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Eagles are undefeated (7-0) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .580.

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Giants are winless (0-6) vs top 10 pass defenses this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.

The Giants are winless (0-5) vs top 10 pass offenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .400.

The Giants are 2-7 (.222) on the road this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .434.

The Giants are 3-4 (.429) at home this season — 8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .566.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants

The Giants have thrown the ball just 48.2% of the time since the 2022 season — 5th-lowest in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 6.0 yards per dropback since the 2022 season — T-5th-best in NFL.

Giants RBs have averaged just 6.3 yards after the catch since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 6.7 yards after catch per reception to RBs since the 2022 season — best in NFL.

The Giants have thrown for just 6.5 yards per attempt since the 2022 season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 6.0 yards per dropback since the 2022 season — T-5th-best in NFL.

The Eagles have been successful on 46.6% of plays they have run this season — 4th-best in NFL. Giants have allowed their opponents to be successful on 45.0% of plays this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 48.7% of rush attempts this season — 3rd-best in NFL. Giants have allowed successful plays on 45.5% of rush attempts this season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have rushed the ball on 45.5% of plays from scrimmage this season — 5th-highest in NFL. The Giants have allowed 4.8 yards per carry this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles have run successful plays on 54% of plays in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 57% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 61% of rush attempts in the 2nd half since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

The Eagles have run successful plays on 54% of plays in the 4th quarter since Week 14 — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants are averaging 50.0 drives per TD in the 1st quarter this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.8.

The Giants have been sacked on 15% of pass attempts (83/566) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants have gone three and out on 30% of their drives this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 22%.

The Giants are averaging 14.4 drives per TD in the 1st half this season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 46% this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 39%.

The Eagles defense has allowed 4.2 TDs per interception (34 TDs allowed, and 8 INT) this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Eagles defense has allowed 34 TD passes this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Eagles defense sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (70/626) in the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense has allowed 6.7 yards per dropback (987 yards/147 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.4.

The Giants defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (29/574) this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.

The Giants defense has averaged a sack every 19.8 pass attempts (574 Pass Attempts/29 Sacks) this season — 2nd-worst attempts per sack rate in NFL; League Avg: 14.0.

The Giants defense has allowed 6.4 yards after the catch (2,241 RAC / 350 receptions) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.2.

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Giants vs Eagles and all NFL games with BetMGM

Bet on NFL Odds at BetMGM

Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting.

From future like AFC Championship odds and NFC Championship odds to weekly betting on spreads, moneylines and parlays, there are thousands of opportunities for all fans.

And with the best sportsbook promos, you can get bigger potential payouts, Bonus Bets and more.

Log in to your BetMGM account today — or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM Sportsbook iOS app or BetMGM Google Play app — to start betting!

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.