Eagles vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

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(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 12:50 PM

The Ravens are -3 point favorites vs the Eagles
Total (Over/Under): 51 points
Watch this game on CBS

The Philadelphia Eagles (9-2-0) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (8-4-0) on Dec. 1. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25pm EST in Baltimore, MD.

The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).

The Eagles vs. Ravens Over/Under is 51 total points for the game.

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Eagles vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Eagles	+3 -115	51 -110	+130
Ravens	-3 -105	51 -110	-155

Eagles vs. Ravens Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 75.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Eagles vs Ravens Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 58.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Eagles players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Eagles Player Prop Bets Today

Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 12 games (+12.10 Units / 69% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.10 Units / 35% ROI)
DeVonta Smith has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
Jahan Dotson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI)
Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.55 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today

Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Lamar Jackson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
Derrick Henry has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.60 Units / 47% ROI)
Isaiah Likely has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.45 Units / 46% ROI)

Eagles Best Bets:

The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.45 Units / 56% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.95 Units / 52% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.75 Units / 41% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.50 Units / 14% ROI)
The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 2Q Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.10 Units / 19% ROI)

Ravens Best Bets:

The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 20% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
The Baltimore Ravens have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)

Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles art 7-4 (+2.65 Units / 21.63% ROI).

Eagles are 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.8 Units / 25.22% ROI
Eagles are 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Eagles are 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / ROI

Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens are 6-5 (+0.55 Units / 4.14% ROI).

Ravens are 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -8.63% ROI
Ravens are 10-2 when betting the Over for +7.8 Units / 59.09% ROI
Ravens are 2-10 when betting the Under for -9 Units / -68.18% ROI

Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens

The Eagles are 3-0 (1.000) when passing for 250 or more yards this season — T-best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed 277.7 passing yards per game this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles are 5-1 (.833) on the road this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Eagles are 9-1 (.900) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .607.

The Eagles are undefeated (7-0) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .571.

Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles

The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.

The Ravens are undefeated (9-0) vs top 10 offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .362.

The Ravens are undefeated (9-0) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .426.

The Ravens were undefeated (8-0) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .637.

Additional Matchup Notes for Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have 54 touchdown passes since the 2023 season — T-most in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 46 passing TDs since the 2023 season — 3rd-most in NFL.

The Ravens have run successful plays on 56.4% of pass attempts against a base front this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Eagles have pressured opposing QBs on 19.5% of pass attempts with a base front this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

The Ravens have thrown the ball just 46.8% of the time this season — T-4th-lowest in NFL. The Eagles have allowed just 5.5 yards per dropback this season — best in NFL.

The Eagles scored on 70% of their drives last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Ravens defense allowed scores on 55.6% of opponent drives last week — T-5th-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have scored on 52.9% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 51.3% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.

The Eagles have been successful on 53.2% of plays they have run against a light front this season — best in NFL. The Ravens have allowed their opponents to be successful on 45.9% of plays with a light front this season — 5th-worst in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats

The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Eagles averaged 0.25 epa per play against a stacked front last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

The Eagles have rushed for 20+ yards 16 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats

The Ravens have thrown for 27 TDs this season — T-most in NFL.

The Ravens had 21 rushes of 20+ yards last season — 2nd-most in NFL.

The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 19 times this season — most in NFL.

The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 40 times since the 2023 season — most in NFL.

Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats

The Eagles defense have allowed -0.47 epa per play on motion plays since Week 9 — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.

The Eagles defense has stuffed 53% (8/15) of rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Eagles’ opponents have attempted two-point conversions on 33% of PATs this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 10%.

The Eagles defense forced 4 fumbles in Week 12 — T-most in NFL.

Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats

The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

The Ravens defense allowed -0.34 epa per play with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.

The Ravens defense have allowed -0.11 epa per play in the 1st half since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Ravens defense allowed -0.14 epa per play in the 1st half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.

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