- The Eagles are -6.5 point favorites vs the Falcons
- Total (Over/Under): 47 points
- Watch this game on ESPN
The Atlanta Falcons (0-1-0) visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the Philadelphia Eagles (1-0-0) on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
The Eagles are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Falcons vs. Eagles Over/Under is 47 total points for the game.
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Falcons vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Falcons | +6.5 -105 | 47 -110 | +240 |
| Eagles | -6.5 -115 | 47 -110 | -300 |
Falcons vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Eagles will win this game with 69.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Falcons vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Eagles will cover the spread with 65.2% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Falcons players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Falcons Player Prop Bets Today
- Tyler Allgeier has hit the Longest Rush Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bijan Robinson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Rondale Moore has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the TD Passes Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 9 games at home (+9.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Falcons went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Falcons are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -100% ROI
- Falcons are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Falcons are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Eagles went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Eagles are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 80% ROI
- Eagles are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Eagles are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Falcons were winless (0-3) vs top 10 run offenses last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Falcons were 4-9 (.308) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Falcons were 2-1 (.667) vs top 10 defenses last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Falcons were 3-6 (.333) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Eagles are undefeated (11-0) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Eagles are 12-6 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Falcons have averaged just 1.9 sacks per game over that time span — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .506.
The Eagles are undefeated (8-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Atlanta Falcons vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles ran successful plays on just 36.2% of pass attempts against a heavy rush last season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Falcons pressured opposing QBs on 52.9% of pass attempts with a heavy rush last season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Eagles have averaged 0.08 epa per play against a base rush since the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed 0.06 epa per play with a base rush since the 2022 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL.
The Eagles have run successful plays on 69.2% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Falcons have allowed successful plays on 61.5% of rush attempts on play action passes since the 2022 season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Falcons RBs had 0.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Eagles allowed an average of 24 PPG last season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons targeted WRs 39% of the time (209 Pass Attempts/530 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Falcons committed 6 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
The Falcons have targeted WRs 46% of the time (450 Pass Attempts/971 plays) since the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Falcons ran successful plays on 28% of rush attempts against a light front last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles ran successful plays on 59% of plays against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Eagles ran successful plays on 61% of rush attempts against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Eagles have averaged 0.27 epa per play against a stacked front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Eagles threw the ball 4% of the time (3 Pass Attempts/78 plays) on plays under center last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 26%.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense allowed successful plays on 32% of rush attempts with a stacked front last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Falcons defense allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (14 completions/33 attempts) in close and late situations last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
Only 10% of the plays ran against the Falcons were in the red zone in the 2nd half last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Falcons defense allowed a passer rating of 143.5 with a stacked front (16 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 110.0.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense allowed 35 TD passes last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Eagles defense allowed a passer rating of 51.3 with tight coverage (160 Pass Attempts) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 21.9.
The Eagles defense allowed 25 TD passes in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.
The Eagles defense allowed 25 touchdown receptions in the red zone last season — T-most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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