Giants vs Cowboys Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 13

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Cowboys player number 4 about to throw an NFL ball game, with a struggle between Cowboys and Jets players in the background.

(AP Photo/Tony Gutierrez)

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 12:38 PM

The Cowboys are -4 point favorites vs the Giants
Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
Watch this game on FOX | FOXD

The New York Giants (2-9-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (4-7-0) on Nov. 28. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Arlington, TX.

The Cowboys are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).

The Giants vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 37.5 total points for the game.

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Giants vs. Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Giants	+4 -110	37.5 -110	+165
Cowboys	-4 -110	37.5 -110	-200

Giants vs. Cowboys Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Giants will win this game with 58.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Giants vs Cowboys Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Giants players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today

Wan’Dale Robinson has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 32% ROI)
Theo Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in his last 6 games (+6.50 Units / 91% ROI)
Darius Slayton has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Theo Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Tommy DeVito has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.55 Units / 111% ROI)

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today

Brandon Aubrey has hit the Field Goals Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Jonathan Mingo has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
Dak Prescott has hit the Carries Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Rico Dowdle has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.95 Units / 49% ROI)

Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Cowboys vs Giants

Player Name	Over	Under
CeeDee Lamb (DAL)	67.5 -115	67.5 -115
Malik Nabers (NYG)	56.5 -110	56.5 -120

Giants Best Bets:

The New York Giants have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 games (+3.22 Units / 18% ROI)
The New York Giants have covered the 2Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
The New York Giants have scored last in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 39% ROI)
The New York Giants have hit the 2H Moneyline in 5 of their last 14 games (+1.70 Units / 11% ROI)

Cowboys Best Bets:

The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.05 Units / 23% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+5.00 Units / 49% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 45% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Giants art 3-8 (-5.75 Units / -47.72% ROI).

Giants are 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -46.15% ROI
Giants are 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.85 Units / -48.15% ROI
Giants are 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / ROI

Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys are 3-8 (-5.7 Units / -47.9% ROI).

Cowboys are 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -7.75% ROI
Cowboys are 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
Cowboys are 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

New York Giants: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys

The Giants are winless (0-6) at home this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are winless (0-9) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.

The Giants were 3-6 (.333) when forcing 2 or more turnovers last season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .707.

The Giants are winless (0-3) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .413.

Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Giants

The Cowboys are undefeated (7-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Cowboys are 7-2 (.778) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season — T-8th-best in NFL. The Giants have allowed an average of 139.1 rushing yards per game since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.

The Cowboys are winless (0-5) at home this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Cowboys were 12-1 (.923) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .594.

Additional Matchup Notes for New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have averaged just -0.12 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Giants have allowed just -0.07 epa per play on play action passes since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL.

The Cowboys ran successful plays on 56.2% of pass attempts last week — 3rd-best in NFL. The Giants allowed successful plays on 60.0% of pass attempts last week — worst in NFL.

The Cowboys ran successful plays on 57.1% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — T-2nd-best in NFL. The Giants allowed successful plays on 64.3% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last week — 4th-worst in NFL.

The Giants have run successful plays on just 28.6% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed successful plays on just 26.7% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Giants have run successful plays on just 20.0% of pass attempts against a heavy rush this season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed successful plays on just 27.3% of pass attempts with a heavy rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Giants have been successful on just 23.1% of plays they have run against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Cowboys have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 24.5% of plays with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

New York Giants Offense: Important Stats

The Giants averaged -0.26 epa per play against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Giants have averaged -0.31 epa per play on play action passes this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.

The Giants ran successful plays on 26% of pass attempts against a stacked front last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 50%.

The Giants have committed 6 turnovers in the red zone this season — T-most in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Offense: Important Stats

The Cowboys have scored 3.0 points per Red Zone drive this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 4.3.

The Cowboys have averaged -0.25 epa per play on play action passes this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.08.

The Cowboys have averaged -0.23 epa per play at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.

The Cowboys ran successful plays on 43% of pass attempts on passes when their QB was pressured last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.

New York Giants Defense: Important Stats

The Giants defense allowed 6.8 yards per dropback (1,053 yards/156 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 1-5 yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 5.5.

The Giants defense has allowed 23.2 yards per dropback (580 yards/25 attempts) when targeted at a depth of 20+ yards this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 12.3.

The Giants defense allowed 4 rushing TDs in Week 12 — most in NFL.

The Giants defense has allowed 20+ yard rushes 6 times since Week 9 — most in NFL.

Dallas Cowboys Defense: Important Stats

The Cowboys defense has allowed a passer rating of just 66.2 with a light front (168 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 84.5.

The Cowboys defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 12% on 3rd and long this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 24%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed successful plays on 27% of pass attempts with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Cowboys defense has allowed 12.2 yards after the catch (476 RAC / 39 receptions) to RBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 8.3.

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