- The Packers’ 2024 preseason win total is set at 9.5 wins at BetMGM.
- In the first season behind Jordan Love, Green Bay cleared their win total of 7.5.
- The case for the Packers to finish under their season win total in 2024.
For the 2024 NFL season, the Packers win total sits at 9.5 wins at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
In Jordan Love’s first full season, Green Bay started slow but ultimately earned a playoff spot.
After starting 2-5, Green Bay finished 7-3 in their final 10 games before falling to the 49ers in the divisional round.
Some fresh faces arrive in Wisconsin this season to bolster Green Bay. Josh Jacobs replaces Aaron Jones at running back while safety Xavier McKinney provides a boost in the secondary.
Here’s a look at the NFL betting lines for Green Bay’s 2024 win total.
Packers Win Total Odds
The Packers’ season win total is set at 9.5 games for the upcoming season.
Oddsmakers expect the over is the more likely outcome. Currently, Green Bay is -145 to win 10 or more games, an implied probability of 59.2%.
Meanwhile, the odds for them to finish with nine or fewer wins is +120, an implied probability of 45.5%.
Here are the 2024 NFL win totals for all NFC North teams:
- Detroit Lions: 10.5 Wins
- Green Bay Packers: 9.5 Wins
- Chicago Bears: 8.5 Wins
- Minnesota Vikings: 6.5 Wins
Packers Win Total Prediction 2024
LEAN Packers Under 9.5 Wins (+110)
If Green Bay entered the season with a win total of 10, it might be my favorite under bet of the season.
At 9.5 wins, it’s strictly a lean based largely on the price.
Despite the switch at quarterback, Green Bay clearing their total last season wasn’t really a surprise.
It came after they finished third in the NFC North and faced an easier schedule than the league average.
The same isn’t true this season – they finished second place last year and face a schedule slightly more difficult than the league average.
Plus, Green Bay has lost the element of surprise with their offense.
Opponents can learn from Love’s success last season and better prepare to shut down Green Bay, who lost a valuable pass catcher in Aaron Jones.
Additionally, although I love the Xavier McKinney addition at safety, I still have concerns about the Packers defense.
Over the last two seasons, Green Bay ranked 23rd and 26th in defensive EPA per play, per rbsdm.com.
This year, Green Bay plays 13 games against teams who finished 18th or better in offensive EPA per play last season.
If their offense takes a step back, I worry their defense could lose them some close games.
As a result, it’s the under or nothing for me in Green Bay. Should this move to 10 wins or under 9.5 wins reaches +130 or better, it’ll become a bet.
Packers Over Under Wins, Live Odds
| Week Number | Win Total | Over Odds | Under Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preseason | 9.5 | -145 | +120 |
| Week 2 | 8.5 | +125 | -150 |
| Week 3 | 8.5 | -130 | +110 |
| Week 4 | 9.5 | -110 | -110 |
Most Wins in Packers History
The Packers franchise record for wins in a single season is 15, achieving that in 2015.
Fewest Wins in Packers History
The Packers’ season with the fewest wins was in 1958 when they won just one game.
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