Jaguars vs Titans Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NFL, Week 18

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(AP Photo/Mark Humphrey)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 07, 2024, 9:37 AM
  • The Jaguars are -5.5 point favorites vs the Titans
  • Total (Over/Under): 40 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7) visit Nissan Stadium to take on the Tennessee Titans (6-9) on Jan. 7. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville, TN.

The Jaguars are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Jaguars vs. Titans Over/Under is 40 total points for the game.

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Jaguars vs. Titans Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Jaguars-5.5 -11040 -110-225
Titans +5.5 -11040 -110+185

Jaguars vs. Titans Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 18 game with 60.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Jaguars vs Titans Spread Prediction

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 62.9% confidence.


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Best Jaguars Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Titans Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Titans players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chigoziem Okonkwo has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Ryan Tannehill has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nick Westbrook has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.40 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.95 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 72% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.15 Units / 84% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Tennessee Titans have covered the 2Q Spread in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars went 9-7 (+1.4 Units / 7.98% ROI).

  • Jaguars are 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -12.61% ROI
  • Jaguars are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
  • Jaguars are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / ROI

Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans went 6-9 (-3.75 Units / -21.55% ROI).

  • Titans are 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -5.9% ROI
  • Titans are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI
  • Titans are 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI

Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans

The Jaguars are 7-2 (.778) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — 6th-best in NFL. The Titans has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 31 s this season — 5th-highest in NFL.

The Jaguars are 1-5 (.167) when rushing less than 25 times this season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .281.

The Jaguars are 8-2 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .587.

The Jaguars are 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .679.

Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars

The Titans are 2-5 (.286) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .709.

The Titans are winless (0-5) after a win this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.

The Titans are 1-10 (.091) when scoring less than 22 points this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .246.

The Titans are 4-11 (.267) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 32.3% this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.6% this season — 5th-best in NFL.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 10.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 6.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 10.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL.

The Jaguars are averaging just 3.5 yards per carry this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed just 3.9 yards per carry this season — T-4th-best in NFL.

The Jaguars are 7-2 (.778) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — 6th-best in NFL. The Titans has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 31 s this season — 5th-highest in NFL.

Jaguars WRs have averaged 24.0 targets per game since Week 14 — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Titans have allowed 15.2 receptions per game to WRs since Week 14 — 2nd-worst in NFL.

Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats

The Jaguars have thrown the ball 79% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/14 plays) on 3rd and short since Week 14 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Jaguars gained at least 5 yards on 23% of first down plays in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.

The Jaguars have run the ball on 7% of plays (1 carries/14 plays) on 3rd and short since Week 14 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.

The Jaguars have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.

Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats

The Titans did not record a TD in 10 drives in Week 17 — T-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.

The Titans have allowed a QB Hit on 30% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

The Titans have run successful plays on 25% of plays in the 3rd quarter since Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.

The Titans allowed a QB hit on 42% of pass attempts in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats

The Jaguars defense forced three and outs on 60% of opponent drives in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.

The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 8% in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.

The Jaguars defense allowed just 2.1 yards per dropback (67 yards/32 attempts) in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.1.

The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 6% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.

Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats

The Titans defense has intercepted 4 of 528 attempts (132.0 pass attempts per int.) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.8.

The Titans defense has allowed 4.5 TDs per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.

The Titans defense has averaged 0.2 interceptions per game (4/16) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.

The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.