- The Vikings are -2.5 point favorites vs the Jets
- Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points
- Watch this game on NFLN
The New York Jets (2-2-0) visit Tottenham Hotspur Stadium to take on the Minnesota Vikings (4-0-0) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:30am EDT in .
The Vikings are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The Jets vs. Vikings Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Jets vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Jets | +2.5 +100 | 40.5 -110 | +125 |
| Vikings | -2.5 -120 | 40.5 -110 | -150 |
Jets vs. Vikings Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Jets will win this game with 52.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jets vs Vikings Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jets players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jets Player Prop Bets Today
- Breece Hall has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Greg Zuerlein has hit the Field Goals Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jeremy Ruckert has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Breece Hall has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Vikings players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Best Bets Today
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 61% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 48% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Vikings vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Garrett Wilson (NYJ) | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -120 |
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 25.5 -120 | 25.5 -110 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 80.5 -115 | 80.5 -115 |
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | 27.5 -120 | 27.5 -110 |
| Jordan Addison (MIN) | 39.5 -115 | 39.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Vikings vs Jets
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 62.5 -120 | 62.5 -110 |
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
Jets Best Bets:
- The New York Jets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Jets have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Jets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+2.20 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Jets have scored first in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.10 Units / 32% ROI)
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 33% ROI)
Jets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jets art 2-2 (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Jets are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -29.59% ROI
- Jets are 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -27.27% ROI
- Jets are 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / ROI
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings are 4-0 (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Vikings are 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 124.39% ROI
- Vikings are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Vikings are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
New York Jets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Jets were winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Jets are winless (0-7) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .425.
The Jets were 6-4 (.600) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Jets were 1-3 (.250) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .427.
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the New York Jets
The Vikings are undefeated (4-0) this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Vikings are winless (0-8) when trailing at the end of the third quarter since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .142.
The Vikings are 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .486.
The Vikings were 3-8 (.273) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game last season — T-5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .443.
Additional Matchup Notes for New York Jets vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings have allowed opponents to pressure their QB on 30.8% of pass attempts since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Jets have pressured opposing QBs on 29.7% of passing plays since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Vikings have scored just 4.0 points per Red Zone drive since the 2023 season — T-5th-worst in NFL. The Jets have allowed just 3.9 points per Red Zone drive since the 2023 season — T-5th-best in NFL.
The Vikings are averaging 5.3 yards per carry on rushes up the middle this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Jets have allowed 5.4 yards per carry when defending rushes up the middle this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Jets have run successful plays on 54.8% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on 56.9% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Jets have scored on 15.4% of their drives in the first quarter this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Vikings defense has allowed scores on 9.1% of opponent drives in the first quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jets have run successful plays on just 11.1% of rush attempts against a light front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on just 20.0% of rush attempts with a light front this season — T-best in NFL.
New York Jets Offense: Important Stats
The Jets ran successful plays on 29% of plays in the 1st quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Jets averaged 11.8 drives per TD last season — worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.0.
The Jets averaged -0.03 epa per play on first read passes last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.20.
The Jets converted first downs on just 19 of 51 plays (37%) on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have thrown for 11 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have run 31% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
26% of the Vikings offense’s first downs (79 of 299) came on the ground last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Vikings have averaged 0.63 epa per play on first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.19.
New York Jets Defense: Important Stats
The Jets defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts from their own territory last season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 47%.
The Jets defense did not allow a successful play on any pass attempt on motion plays in Week 4 — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Jets defense allowed successful plays on 12% of pass attempts in Week 4 — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 31% of plays since the 2023 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 15%.
The Vikings defense allowed 4 TD passes in Week 4 — most in NFL.
The Vikings defense has blitzed on 41% of plays this season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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