- Below are the BetMGM staff's favorite picks for championship weekend.
The NFL season has reached the playoffs.
Each week, writers and editors for The Roarย dug through the NFL odds to find their favorite bets for that particular week.
Here are the staffโs favorite plays for championship weekend:
NFL Best Bets: Championship Weekend
Chase Kiddy (Season Record: 9-11)
Pick: Bengals -105 (at Chiefs)
I donโt love much of anything from either game this weekend, to be totally frank. But the pick I like the most is just a straightforward play on the Bengals to win.
Mahomesโ health and effectiveness is obviously a huge factor in handicapping this game. The way I see it, there are two possible outcomes: Mahomes can be mostly healthy and effective, or he can be obviously limited and ineffective.
If Mahomes is good to go, this is still the Chiefs playing against a Bengals team that is starting to run up quite the head-to-head winning streak in this budding AFC rivalry.ย
If heโs ineffective โ or if heโs pulled for Chad Henne โ then you donโt need me to explain why the Bengals to win is a good bet.
And for what itโs worth, Kansas City is 3-6 ATS in home games this season.
Ryan Hannable (Season Record: 8-11-1)
Pick: Chiefs -1 (vs. Bengals)
The Bengals are getting a lot of love for their dominating performance against the Bills a week ago, but the fact of the matter is the Bills werenโt as good as many thought.ย
Another thing in Kansas Cityโs favor is it seems Patrick Mahomesโ ankle injury isnโt as bad as first thought, as he was able to practice in full leading into the game.
Lastly, thereโs some extra motivation for the Chiefs, with the Bengals winning three straight games against them, including last yearโs AFC title game.
Expect the Chiefs to get it done at home.ย
Colton Pool (Season Record: 7-12-1)
Pick: Jalen Hurts Under 48.5 Rushing Yards
Since returning from injury, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has recorded 47 rushing yards combined in two games. I donโt think heโll want to run much in this matchup.
The 49ers allowed the fifth-fewest rushing yards to quarterbacks and were second in rushing defense DVOA in the regular season. Hurts may have a solid day throwing the ball, so I donโt think heโll need to run that often.
Andrew Doughty (Season Record: 7-13)
Pick: A.J. Brown Over 69.5 receiving yards
The 49ersโ defense is good at most things. They arenโt good at โ or they choose not to be good at โ limiting damage from No. 1 receivers.
CeeDee Lambโs 10-catch, 117-yard performance last week continued a season-long trend against the 49ersโ defense. Only four teams allowed more receiving yards โ and three teams more receptions โ to opposing No. 1 receivers this season.ย
With A.J. Brownโs stock down a little after last weekโs we-didnโt-need-you three-catch, 22-yard game, this feels like a good price after he hit at least 70 yards in his previous six games.ย
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