NFL Power Rankings 2024: The League’s 10 Best Teams

NFL training camp is officially underway, under 50 days before the 2024-25 regular season starts. 

Below, bettors can find my NFL power rankings for the league’s 10 best teams, along with NFL betting lines for each team’s Super Bowl price. 

NFL Power Rankings 2024, Preseason Ranks

NFL Team Rankings 2024

1. Kansas City Chiefs (+550 Odds to Win Super Bowl)

It can be argued the Chiefs had their worst season last year under Patrick Mahomes….and they still managed to win the Super Bowl. 

Kansas City’s run defense remains a question mark, but this offense made strides this offseason. 

They drafted Xavier Worthy and added Marquise Brown through free agency. Those are undoubtedly upgrades over last year’s corp, which led the league in dropped passes. 

Bottom-line: they have the best quarterback, a top-5 head coach and outstanding defensive coordinator. Until a team shows they can dethrone them, they’ll be number one.

2. San Francisco 49ers (+650)

San Francisco possesses better skill players than Kansas City, but I have questions about their defense. 

Arik Armstead and Chase Young departed a defensive line that ranked 26th in rush EPA per play allowed. That’s a big concern. 

I also worry about this team’s ability to play from behind. The good news? They’re so rarely trailing it hardly matters. 

San Francisco ranked fourth and first in offensive EPA per play the last two years, so they’re well-constructed to hide any potential weaknesses. 

3. Detroit Lions (+1200)

Even though this team played two wins over expectation last year, I maintain they’re amongst the best teams. 

Last year, Detroit was a top-five unit in both offensive measures and rushing EPA per play. The glaring weakness? Their pass defense ranked 25th in EPA per play when you exclude turnovers. 

Detroit made strides this offseason to address that weakness — they used their first two draft picks on corners and acquired Carlton Davis from Tampa Bay. 

If the pass defense improves, Detroit’s easily the third-best team, given their offensive prowess. 

4. Philadelphia Eagles (+1400)

If the coordinator hires — Kellen Moore on offense, Vic Fangio on defense — work out, Philly’s ceiling is the Super Bowl. 

Offense isn’t the problem in Philadelphia. After all, they ranked fifth or better in EPA per play each of the last two years. 

The biggest concern is their year-over-year dropoff defending the pass. In 2022, they led the league in dropback EPA per play. Last year, they were 28th. 

But the Eagles also lost the second-most games to injury amongst all secondaries last year. With Chauncey Gardner-Johnson back, expect improvement from Philadelphia. 

5. Baltimore Ravens (+1000)

Baltimore’s a tricky evaluation because my perception of them has to account for their offseason departures. 

They’ve lost loads of talent on both sides of the ball. The offensive line lost Morgan Moses and John Simpson, while the defense lost Jadaveon Clowney, Patrick Queen and Geno Stone. 

Defensive coordinator Mike McDonald also left, so I have questions about this defense. 

That said, second-year offensive coordinator Todd Monken made drastic improvements last year. In 2022, they ranked 17th in EPA per play. Last year, they ranked sixth. 

6. Cincinnati Bengals (+1400)

If this just came down to quarterbacks, Cincinnati would rank much higher. 

The biggest question this year is their defense. A year after ranking eighth in EPA per play, they fell to 27th in 2023. 

Vonn Bell and Geno Stone arrive to rescue the secondary, but D.J. Reader departs for Detroit. Still, edge rushers Sam Hubbard and Trey Hendrickson provide good options. 

With Joe Burrow back to full health, Cincinnati should be a top-10 offense this year. Even when accounting for Burrow’s absence last year, Cincinnati still ranked 13th in EPA per play. 

7. Houston Texans (+1500)

C.J. Stroud might prove the exception to the second-year regression rule. 

Additionally, Stroud produced a sensational rookie campaign despite playing behind the most injured offensive line in NFL history, per ftnfantasy.com. 

While their pass rush is also excellent, especially with Danielle Hunter replacing Jonathan Grenard, I have questions about their pass defense. 

Save for Derrick Stingley, I worry about the personnel at CB2 and both safety positions. That showed itself last year, with Houston ranking 20th in passing EPA per play allowed. 

8. New York Jets (+2200)

Let me be clear about one thing — this is the “all goes right scenario” for New York. 

They added strength along the offensive line this season, notably Morgan Moses, John Simpson and Tyron Smith. 

Even if Mike Williams’ health fails, this team is built to run the ball and play strong defense. 

Across the last two years, the Jets are one of only five teams that ranked 10th or better in EPA per play both years. 

Assuming that record holds up, their offense just needs to be average to justify this rank. 

9. Buffalo Bills (+1500)

Josh Allen remains a top-five quarterback in the league. Beyond him, I have so many questions about the Bills roster. 

Positive regression could be argued for the defense, which lost 50.5 man games to injury last year. The problem? There are so many offseason departures it might not matter. 

The receiving group, which lost both Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis, is unproven. Their offensive line doesn’t inspire much confidence, either. 

Allen has to be superman to make this a top-five team. He might be able to do it, but I have my concerns about Buffalo’s defensive turnover. 

10. Green Bay Packers (+1600)

From Week 11 onward last year, Jordan Love ranked second in EPA per play and completion percentage over expected. 

If that version shows up again, Green Bay’s ceiling is much higher than this ranking. 

But what gives me pause about Green Bay is their persistent defensive struggles. 

Not since 2020 have the Packers ranked inside the top-15 in defensive EPA per play on plays excluding turnovers. Last year, they ranked 20th. 

Efforts were made to address those issues this offseason, including safety Xavier McKinney, but I need to see improvement to believe it.