- The Chiefs (+400) have received a plurality of tickets and handle to win Super Bowl 59.
- Public bettors predict the Texans will cover the spread on Monday Night Football.
- One AFC team has received a near 50% share of money wagered to win the conference.
Below, bettors can find public betting data for the full slate of Week 11 games and various futures markets.
For clarity, public support is defined as when a side receives more than 51% of all tickets. In terms of the futures markets, it’s defined as the side that receives a plurality of tickets.
Bettors can identify sharp support when a team receives more money compared to their ticket count.
With that established, let’s get to this week’s data based on NFL betting lines.
NFL Public Betting Percentages & Money: Week 11, MNF
| Game | Opening Spread | Current Spread | Bets Placed | Money Wagered |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys vs. Texans (MNF) | Texans -7 | Texans -7 | Texans 82% | Texans 69% |
Based on public betting data for Week 11, the Houston Texans (-7) are predicted to cover the spread on MNF.
Houston opened as a touchdown favorite against the Cooper Rush-led Cowboys. Subsequently, they’ve dominated in both bets placed percentage and money wagered percentage.
As of Monday morning, Houston has received 82% of bets to cover the spread along with 69% of all money wagered in the spread market. Somewhat interesting, the line has moved Dallas’ direction in spite of those percentages. Earlier in the week, Dallas sat on +7.5.
Another notable data set for Monday Night Football focuses on the over/under.
Both tickets and money are flowing in on the over. As of Monday morning, that side of the total has received 73% of bets placed and 85% of dollars wagered.
However, the total has moved the opposite direction of those percentages, dropping a full point from 42.5 at market open to 41.5.
NFL Public Betting: Super Bowl 59 Futures
As of Nov. 19, the Detroit Lions (+325) are the public Super Bowl futures side at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
The Lions have received 16.1% of bets placed and 17.9% of money wagered. In terms of bets placed, that figure is up slightly from 15.8% of bets placed and 17.3% of all money wagered on Nov. 12.
Here are a few other popular teams based on their current ticket percentage:
- Kansas City Chiefs (+450): 12.9% of bets placed (no change since Nov. 12)
- Baltimore Ravens (+800): 8.1% of bets placed (-0.1%)
- San Francisco 49ers (+2000): 6.1% of bets placed (no change)
- Buffalo Bills (+650): 5.5% of bets placed (+0.2%)
- Philadelphia Eagles (+850): 5.1% of bets placed (+0.2%)
- Cincinnati Bengals (+15000): 4.3% of bets placed (no change)
- All Other Teams: Less than 3.9% of bets placed
NFL Sharp Betting: Super Bowl 59 Futures
A few teams can be identified as sharply supported based on their handle percentages in the futures market.
The Lions, for one, have received a higher money percentage than their ticket count. As a result, they’re the first sharp target.
Three other teams have received a higher handle percentages compared to their bets percentage: Kansas City, Baltimore and San Francisco.
The Chiefs have received 14.6% of all money wagered in the Super Bowl 59 futures market compared to 12.9% of all bets placed.
As for the 49ers, they’ve accounted for only 6.1% of all bets placed in the market compared to 7.6% of all dollars wagered.
Finally, the Ravens have emerged as a sharp target. As of Nov. 19, Baltimore has received 8.1% of all bets placed compared to 10.6% of all money wagered.
NFL Public Betting: AFC Championship
Largely, there’s a strong correlation between teams’ Super Bowl futures trends and their percentages to claim their respective conference.
Beginning with the AFC, here are the top teams in terms of their bets percentages as of Nov. 19.
- Kansas City Chiefs (+220): 19.3% of bets placed (-0.1% since Nov. 12)
- Baltimore Ravens (+375): 11.9% of bets placed (-0.1%)
- New York Jets (+25000): 9.5% of bets placed (-0.4%)
- Cincinnati Bengals (+5000): 8.7% of bets placed (+0.1%)
- Houston Texans (+1200): 7.8% of bets placed (-0.1%)
- Buffalo Bills (+300): 7.7% of bets placed (+0.1%)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (+750): 7.2% of bets placed (+0.5%)
- Cleveland Browns (+75000): 5.8% of bets placed (-0.1%)
- All Other Teams Under 4.5% of bets placed
NFL Public Betting: NFC Championship
- Detroit Lions (+120): 35.8% of bets placed (+0.3% since Nov. 12)
- Philadelphia Eagles (+400): 9.4% of bets placed (+0.4%)
- San Francisco 49ers (+1100): 9.2% of bets placed (+0.1%)
- Green Bay Packers (+1200): 9% of bets placed (-0.2%)
- Chicago Bears (+50000): 7.2% of bets placed (-0.3%)
- All Other Teams Under 5% of bets placed
NFL Sharp Betting, Conference Championship
A new team has emerged as the sharp target in the AFC following Week 5: the Baltimore Ravens.
Baltimore has received 11.9% of bets placed to win the conference. That puts them second to the Kansas City Chiefs in terms of bets placed.
However, the Ravens have amassed 46.8% of money wagered to win the conference. That’s by far the most money accumulated to win the AFC.
No other team has outperformed their bets percentage in terms of money wagered, rendering the Ravens the only sharp target.
In terms of the NFC, two teams have outperformed their bets percentage: Detroit and San Francisco.
The Lions, which have amassed the most bets to win the NFC, are sitting on 42.9% of all money wagered to win the conference. Additionally, the 49ers have amassed 10.8% of all money wagered on 9.2% of bets placed.
Those teams account for a majority of all money wagered while the other 14 account for under 50%. Amongst the Lions, 49ers, Packers and Eagles, they’ve combined to account for 70.9% of all money wagered to win the NFC.
NFL Public Betting: Division Winners
AFC East Winner: Public Betting
- Current Favorite: Buffalo Bills (-3000)
- Highest Bets Placed: New York Jets 42.1%
- Highest Money Wagered: New York Jets 54.1%
AFC North Winner: Public Betting
- Current Favorite: Baltimore Ravens (-190)
- Highest Bets Placed: Pittsburgh Steelers 35.4%
- Highest Money Wagered: Baltimore Ravens 38.4%
AFC South Winner: Public Betting
- Current Favorite: Houston Texans (-1200)
- Highest Bets Placed: Houston Texans 36.3%
- Highest Money Wagered: Houston Texans 47.8%
AFC West Winner: Public Betting
- Current Favorite: Kansas City Chiefs (-5000)
- Highest Bets Placed: Kansas City Chiefs 34.6%
- Highest Money Wagered: Kansas City Chiefs 90.3%
NFC East Winner: Public Betting
- Current Favorite: Philadelphia Eagles (-120)
- Highest Bets Placed: Washington Commanders 43.2%
- Highest Money Wagered: Philadelphia Eagles 72.8%
NFC North Winner: Public Betting
- Current Favorite: Detroit Lions (-140)
- Highest Bets Placed: Detroit Lions 49.7%
- Highest Money Wagered: Detroit Lions 70.9%
NFC South Winner: Public Betting
- Current Favorite: Atlanta Falcons (-400)
- Highest Bets Placed: Carolina Panthers 40.2%
- Highest Money Wagered: CarolinaPanthers 36.4%
NFC West Winner: Public Betting
- Current Favorite: San Francisco 49ers (-125)
- Highest Bets Placed: Seattle Seahawks 28.5%
- Highest Money Wagered: San Francisco 49ers 48.9%
Updated NFL Futures Odds
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