- The Packers are -4.5 point favorites vs the Jaguars
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Green Bay Packers (5-2-0) visit EverBank Stadium to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5-0) on Oct. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Jacksonville, FL.
The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Packers vs. Jaguars Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. Jaguars Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | -4 -110 | 49.5 -110 | -210 |
| Jaguars | +4 -110 | 49.5 -110 | +170 |
Packers vs. Jaguars Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 66.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Packers vs Jaguars Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Packers will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
- Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tucker Kraft has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Jaguars Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Travis Etienne has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Travis Etienne has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brian Thomas Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 29% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Packers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | +500 |
| Jayden Reed (GB) | +700 |
| Tank Bigsby (Jac) | +800 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Jaguars vs Packers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | -165 |
| Jayden Reed (GB) | +110 |
| Tank Bigsby (Jac) | +110 |
| Travis Etienne (Jac) | +140 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Jaguars vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Engram (JAC) | 48.5 -110 | 48.5 -120 |
| Christian Watson (GB) | 27.5 -110 | 27.5 -120 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC) | 56.5 -115 | 56.5 -115 |
| Jayden Reed (GB) | 56.5 -115 | 56.5 -115 |
| Romeo Doubs (GB) | 45.5 -115 | 45.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Jaguars vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Love (GB) | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -110 |
| Trevor Lawrence (JAC) | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -120 |
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | 66.5 -120 | 66.5 -110 |
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 away games (+9.45 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.45 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.95 Units / 64% ROI)
Jaguars Best Bets:
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Jacksonville Jaguars have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers art 4-3 (+0.6 Units / 7.69% ROI).
- Packers are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 30.24% ROI
- Packers are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -3.9% ROI
- Packers are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / ROI
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars are 3-4 (-1.45 Units / -18.71% ROI).
- Jaguars are 2-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -35.14% ROI
- Jaguars are 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Jaguars are 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Packers are 3-1 (.750) after a win this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.
The Packers are 3-1 (.750) after a win this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.
The Packers are 3-1 (.750) after a win this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.
The Packers are 3-1 (.750) after a win this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .535.
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Jaguars are winless (0-11) whe trailing at the end of the frist half since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .232.
The Jaguars are 2-11 (.154) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.
The Jaguars are 2-11 (.154) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .411.
The Jaguars are winless (0-4) whe trailing at the end of the frist half this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .272.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars are averaging 5.6 yards per carry on rushes to the right side of the field this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed 6.1 yards per carry when defending on rushes to the right this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have run successful plays on 60.0% of rush attempts against a base rush since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL. The Jaguars have allowed successful plays on 66.7% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Packers ran successful plays on just 30.0% of rush attempts last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars allowed successful plays on just 13.3% of rush attempts last week — best in NFL.
The Packers ran successful plays on just 30.0% of rush attempts against a base front last week — 4th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars allowed successful plays on just 15.4% of rush attempts with a base front last week — best in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers scored on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Packers ran 53% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Packers have a third down conversion rate of 72% against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Packers had a third down conversion rate of 88% against a heavy rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have started 5 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter this season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 14% of pass attempts on passes when their QB has been pressured this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 31%.
The Jaguars have started 10 drives inside their own 10 yard line in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
The Jaguars have turned the ball over on downs 9 times in the red zone since the 2023 season — most in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 19.5 when the opposing QB has scrambled (17 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 60.8.
The Packers defense has allowed a passer rating of just 49.4 with a light front (63 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 89.1.
The Packers defense missed 13 tackles in Week 7 — most in NFL.
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 65% of plays open coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense have allowed 0.24 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
The Jaguars defense has allowed 30 receptions for 20+ yards this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Jaguars defense has allowed an average of 23.6 fantasy points per game to QBs this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 15.9.
The Jaguars defense has allowed an average of 1.5 yards after contact per carry (571 carries) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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