- The Bears are -4 point favorites vs the Panthers
- Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Carolina Panthers (1-3-0) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (2-2-0) on Oct. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
The Bears are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Panthers vs. Bears Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Panthers vs. Bears Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Panthers | +4 -110 | 41.5 -110 | +165 |
| Bears | -4 -110 | 41.5 -110 | -200 |
Panthers vs. Bears Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Bears will win this game with 67.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Panthers vs Bears Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Bears will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Panthers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Panthers Player Prop Bets Today
- Bryce Young has hit the TD Passes Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+11.60 Units / 67% ROI)
- Bryce Young has hit the Passing Yards Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Adam Thielen has hit the Longest Reception Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jonathan Mingo has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.65 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- D’Andre Swift has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- Cole Kmet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Roschon Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cairo Santos has hit the Field Goals Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bears vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Cole Kmet (CHI) | 27.5 -120 | 27.5 -110 |
| Keenan Allen (CHI) | 40.5 -115 | 40.5 -115 |
| D.J. Moore (CHI) | 52.5 -120 | 52.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bears vs Panthers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| D’Andre Swift (CHI) | 47.5 -115 | 47.5 -115 |
Panthers Best Bets:
- The Carolina Panthers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+7.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Carolina Panthers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Bears Best Bets:
- The Chicago Bears have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+8.55 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have scored first in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.20 Units / 52% ROI)
Panthers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Panthers art 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).
- Panthers are 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -22.5% ROI
- Panthers are 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
- Panthers are 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears are 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 20.22% ROI).
- Bears are 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Bears are 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Bears are 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Carolina Panthers: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Panthers were winless (0-4) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Panthers were winless (0-7) when playing in cold weather last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Panthers are winless (0-7) when playing in cold weather since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Panthers are 2-15 (.118) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Carolina Panthers
The Bears are 8-2 (.800) when not throwing an interception since the 2023 season — T-7th-best in NFL. The Panthers have intercepted 11 passes since the 2023 season — T-4th-fewest in NFL.
The Bears were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .223.
The Bears were 1-5 (.167) when allowing 250 or more passing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.
The Bears were 1-8 (.111) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.
Additional Matchup Notes for Carolina Panthers vs. Chicago Bears
The Bears have thrown for 4,208 passing yards in 21 games (just 200.4 YPG) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Panthers have allowed just 178.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Bears ran successful plays on 66.7% of pass attempts against a base front last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Panthers pressured opposing QBs on 8.3% of pass attempts with a base front last week — 5th-worst in NFL.
Bears WRs have just 122.0 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Panthers have averaged just 124.8 receiving yards per game allowed to WRs since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Panthers have been successful on just 34.1% of plays they have ran against a base rush this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 32.8% of plays with a base rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Panthers have run successful plays on just 32.5% of pass attempts against a base front this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Bears have allowed successful plays on just 26.9% of pass attempts with a base front this season — best in NFL.
The Panthers have run successful plays on 51.8% of rush attempts against a base front this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Bears have allowed successful plays on 48.3% of rush attempts with a base front this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
Carolina Panthers Offense: Important Stats
The Panthers have a third down conversion rate of 75% on motion plays this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Panthers averaged 0.13 epa per play against open coverage last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.36.
The Panthers have averaged -0.85 epa per play against a stacked front this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.05.
The Panthers averaged 13.6 drives per TD in the 1st half last season — 2nd-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.
Chicago Bears Offense: Important Stats
The Bears averaged -0.76 epa per play against a light rush last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Bears have averaged -0.61 epa per play against a light rush since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Bears ran successful plays on 90% of pass attempts in the 2nd half in Week 4 — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Bears have run none of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 13%.
Carolina Panthers Defense: Important Stats
The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (472 carries) last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Panthers defense allowed an average of 2.4 yards after contact per carry (422 carries) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.9.
The Panthers defense has allowed an average of 2.3 yards after contact per carry (597 carries) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Panthers defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 5% of pass attempts (32/628) since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
Chicago Bears Defense: Important Stats
The Bears defense allowed -0.17 epa per play with a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Bears defense allowed 58.8 receiving yards per game (1,000/17) to RBs last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32.4.
The Bears defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 76% on 3rd and short last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 59%.
The Bears defense has allowed a passer rating of just 55.1 with a base front (52 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 91.8.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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