- The Chiefs are -12.5 point favorites vs the Raiders
- Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
- Watch this game on Amazon
The Las Vegas Raiders (2-9-0) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (10-1-0) on Nov. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Kansas City, MO.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).
The Raiders vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 42.5 total points for the game.
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Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Raiders | +12.5 -105 | 42.5 -110 | +500 |
| Chiefs | -12.5 -115 | 42.5 -110 | -700 |
Raiders vs. Chiefs Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Raiders vs Chiefs Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Raiders will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Raiders players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Raiders Player Prop Bets Today
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jakobi Meyers has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Aidan O’Connell has hit the Interceptions Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gardner Minshew has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.10 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Noah Gray has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+7.57 Units / 37% ROI)
- Travis Kelce has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Carson Steele has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Patrick Mahomes has hit the TD Passes Under in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+6.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Raiders Best Bets:
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Las Vegas Raiders have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+4.42 Units / 26% ROI)
Raiders Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Raiders art 4-7 (-3.85 Units / -31.3% ROI).
- Raiders are 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -44.8% ROI
- Raiders are 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
- Raiders are 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs are 4-6 (-2.45 Units / -20.76% ROI).
- Chiefs are 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 29.44% ROI
- Chiefs are 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
- Chiefs are 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI
Las Vegas Raiders: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Raiders are winless (0-8) when tied at the end of quarter 1 since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Raiders are 1-15 (.062) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .267.
The Raiders are winless (0-6) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .188.
The Raiders were winless (0-7) when allowing 22 or more points last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .223.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders
The Chiefs are 11-5 (.688) when rushing less than 25 times since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .267.
The Chiefs are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 offenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .366.
The Chiefs are 6-1 (.857) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Raiders have turned the ball over 21 times this season — T-most in NFL.
The Chiefs are 8-1 (.889) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .360.
Additional Matchup Notes for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 54.9% of pass attempts with motion this season — T-3rd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed successful plays on 53.3% of pass attempts against motion this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs have run 18.6% offensive plays in the red zone this season — 4th-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed their opponent to run 17.5% of plays in the red zone this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 52.8% of pass attempts this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed successful plays on 49.2% of pass attempts this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 30.4% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed successful plays on just 37.9% of rush attempts this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Raiders have been successful on just 29.6% of plays they have run against a stacked front this season — 4th-worst in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 30.4% of plays with a stacked front this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Raiders have run successful plays on just 17.2% of rush attempts against a light front this season — worst in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed successful plays on just 26.3% of rush attempts with a light front this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
Las Vegas Raiders Offense: Important Stats
The Raiders have averaged -1.31 epa per play against a light rush this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.02.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 23% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 30% of rush attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Raiders have run successful plays on 18% of rush attempts against a light front since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs have run successful plays on 70% of plays against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Chiefs have averaged -0.79 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.48.
The Chiefs averaged 0.27 epa per play against a stacked front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 100% against a heavy rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 34%.
Las Vegas Raiders Defense: Important Stats
The Raiders defense has allowed successful plays on 11% of pass attempts on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 35%.
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 24.7 on contested throws (28 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 71.8.
The Raiders defense have allowed -0.55 epa per play on contested throws this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
The Raiders defense has allowed a passer rating of just 32.3 on contested throws (103 Pass Attempts) since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 66.9.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
The Chiefs defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 3% on third and 10+ yards to go last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Chiefs defense has allowed a passer rating of 122.6 on contested throws (30 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 71.8.
The Chiefs defense have allowed 0.38 epa per play on contested throws this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.07.
The Chiefs defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 7% on third and 10+ yards to go since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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