- The Rams are a 1.5-point home underdog against the Vikings.
- The Vikings have won each of their last nine games as favorites.
- My Rams vs. Vikings prediction is for the Rams to win outright.
To close out the NFL wild-card round, the Vikings travel to Los Angeles for a meeting with the Rams.
Minnesota dropped to the fifth seed after a 31-9 blowout loss against the Lions on Sunday. Now, they’ll face a Rams side that beat Minnesota 30-24 earlier this season.
Sean McVay elected to rest starters in Week 18, with Los Angeles subsequently falling to Seattle. That loss dropped the Rams from the third seed to the fourth seed.
Bet on Rams vs. Vikings and other NFL matchups with up-to-date NFL odds.
NFL Wild Card Odds: Rams vs. Vikings
Rams vs. Vikings Prediction
Based on the Rams’ outstanding offensive results against good defenses and the record of playoff newcomers, my Rams vs. Vikings is the Rams Moneyline (+105).
Although the Rams benefitted from a Minnesota short rest spot in their meeting earlier this season, this shapes up as another nightmare spot for the Vikings.
The Vikings played a full complement of starters against the Lions, whereas the Rams rested their four key still players.
Historically, teams tend to struggle immediately after facing the Lions.
Since last season, teams are 7-17 ATS in games 2-20 immediately after playing Detroit.
But the crux of this bet is backing a tested Rams offense. This season, Los Angeles ranks 10th in offensive DVOA, having faced the third-hardest set of opposing defenses, per ftnfantasy.com.
That should set them up for success against Minnesota, which has struggled against the league’s best offenses this year.
Minnesota is 3-3 SU against teams 10th or better in offensive DVOA, including 1-2 away from home. Otherwise, they’re 11-0 SU.
History also suggests the Vikings are primed to fall on Monday in Los Angeles.
Since 2003, wild-card favorites that missed the playoffs the previous year are 12-29 ATS.
Even when those teams fall between -2.5 and -1, they’re 2-12 ATS, including 1-5 ATS away from home.
There’s also a historical angle to backing the Rams.
Since 2020, wild-card underdogs between +1 and +8.5 are 10-2 ATS, assuming their previous game margin falls between -6 and +37.
When those dogs fall between +1 and +3: 6-0 ATS.
As a result, grab the Rams to advance over the Vikings on Monday.
Betting Rams vs. Vikings: NFL Public Betting
Check back on Friday for Rams vs. Vikings public betting data and insights.
