- The Ravens are -9 point favorites vs the Browns
- Total (Over/Under): 44.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Baltimore Ravens (5-2-0) visit Huntington Bank Field to take on the Cleveland Browns (1-6-0) on Oct. 27. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Ravens vs. Browns Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ravens | -8.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 | -450 |
| Browns | +8.5 -110 | 44.5 -110 | +350 |
Ravens vs. Browns Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 62.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Ravens vs Browns Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Browns will cover the spread with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Rashod Bateman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+7.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Rashod Bateman has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Justice Hill has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.35 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Browns players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Browns Player Prop Best Bets Today
- David Njoku has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jerome Ford has hit the Carries Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jerry Jeudy has hit the Receptions Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 54% ROI)
- David Njoku has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.50 Units / 37% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Ravens
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | +310 |
| Lamar Jackson (Bal) | +850 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Browns vs Ravens
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | -250 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Browns vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| David Njoku (CLE) | 52.5 -115 | 52.5 -115 |
| Nick Chubb (CLE) | 10.5 -110 | 10.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Browns vs Ravens
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Derrick Henry (BAL) | 97.5 -115 | 97.5 -115 |
| Nick Chubb (CLE) | 46.5 -120 | 46.5 -110 |
| Lamar Jackson (BAL) | 51.5 -110 | 51.5 -120 |
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+7.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 71% ROI)
Browns Best Bets:
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 22 games (+4.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+4.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Browns have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens art 4-2 (+1.85 Units / 23.72% ROI).
- Ravens are 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -2.7% ROI
- Ravens are 6-1 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI
- Ravens are 1-6 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / ROI
Browns Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Browns are 2-5 (-3.55 Units / -45.81% ROI).
- Browns are 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -74.48% ROI
- Browns are 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
- Browns are 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Browns
The Ravens are undefeated (7-0) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .408.
The Ravens are undefeated (7-0) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .408.
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are undefeated (7-0) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .408.
Cleveland Browns: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Browns are undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .460.
The Browns are undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .460.
The Browns were 3-1 (.750) when not forcing a turnover last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .265.
The Browns are 1-6 (.143) this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
The Browns have averaged just -0.18 epa per play against a base rush since the 2023 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just -0.08 epa per play with a base rush since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Browns have averaged just -0.23 epa per play with motion since the 2023 season — worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just -0.09 epa per play against motion since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Browns have averaged just -0.10 epa per play in the first half since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just -0.13 epa per play in the first half since the 2023 season — best in NFL.
The Ravens have thrown the ball just 45.5% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL. The Browns have allowed just 5.6 yards per dropback since the 2023 season — T-best in NFL.
Ravens RBs have averaged 11.1 yards after the catch this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed 10.3 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — T-4th-worst in NFL.
Ravens WRs have gained 971 yards on 65 receptions (14.9 YPR) this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Browns have allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens threw for 5 TDs in Week 7 — most in NFL.
The Ravens have averaged 0.26 epa per play against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.02.
The Ravens have averaged 0.39 epa per play against a base rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.01.
The Ravens have targeted WRs 19% of the time (6 Pass Attempts/32 plays) in the red zone this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 56%.
Cleveland Browns Offense: Important Stats
The Browns have averaged -0.36 epa per play on motion plays this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.00.
The Browns have run successful plays on 32% of pass attempts on motion plays this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Browns have a third down conversion rate of 24% this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
Browns QBs have been sacked 35 times this season — most in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense has allowed 23 of 130 (18%) first downs on the ground this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Ravens defense has allowed a passer rating of 155.0 against play action passes (46 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 99.1.
The Ravens defense allowed -0.34 epa per play with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.05.
Cleveland Browns Defense: Important Stats
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts first read passes last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Browns defense allowed successful plays on 11% of pass attempts on contested throws last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of pass attempts with a base front since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 46%.
The Browns defense has allowed successful plays on 26% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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