- The Ravens are -3 point favorites vs the Steelers
- Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Baltimore Ravens (7-3-0) visit Acrisure Stadium to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2-0) on Nov. 17. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Pittsburgh, PA.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (-115).
The Ravens vs. Steelers Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Ravens vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Ravens | -3 -115 | 48.5 -110 | -175 |
| Steelers | +3 -105 | 48.5 -110 | +145 |
Ravens vs. Steelers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Ravens vs Steelers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Ravens will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Ravens players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Ravens Player Prop Bets Today
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+6.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Diontae Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Derrick Henry has hit the Receptions Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Interceptions Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+5.35 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Steelers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- George Pickens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Interceptions Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Russell Wilson has hit the Interceptions Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Jaylen Warren has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+4.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Najee Harris has hit the Carries Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+4.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games (+10.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have scored last in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 59% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens art 5-4 (+0.75 Units / 6.82% ROI).
- Ravens are 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -6.59% ROI
- Ravens are 9-1 when betting the Over for +7.9 Units / 71.82% ROI
- Ravens are 1-9 when betting the Under for -8.9 Units / ROI
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers are 7-2 (+4.7 Units / 47.24% ROI).
- Steelers are 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 39.54% ROI
- Steelers are 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Steelers are 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Ravens were undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are undefeated (9-0) vs top 10 pass offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .417.
The Ravens are undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .348.
The Ravens are undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 run offenses since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .405.
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Steelers are 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .575.
The Steelers are undefeated (3-0) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Steelers were undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .573.
The Steelers are winless (0-3) when throwing 2 or more interceptions since the 2023 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .191.
Additional Matchup Notes for Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers have run successful plays on just 37.5% of rush attempts this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed successful plays on just 36.8% of rush attempts this season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Steelers have scored on 44.8% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Ravens defense has allowed scores on 56.2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — worst in NFL.
The Steelers have run just 40.3% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed their opponents to run just 43.1% of plays in their territory since the 2023 season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Ravens have run successful plays on 55.2% of pass attempts with motion this season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed successful plays on 55.3% of pass attempts against motion this season — worst in NFL.
The Ravens ran successful plays on 52.2% of pass attempts against a base rush last week — 4th-best in NFL. The Steelers pressured opposing QBs on 12.5% of pass attempts with a base rush last week — 4th-worst in NFL.
Ravens WRs have gained 1,546 yards on 100 receptions (15.5 YPR) this season — T-best in NFL. The Steelers have allowed 13.6 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 4th-worst in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens have averaged 0.25 epa per play against a base front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.01.
The Ravens have thrown the ball 17% of the time (4 Pass Attempts/24 plays) on 3rd and short this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The Ravens had 21 rushes of 20+ yards last season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Ravens have averaged 1.04 epa per play on first read passes since Week 7 — best in NFL; League Avg: 0.22.
Pittsburgh Steelers Offense: Important Stats
The Steelers averaged -0.44 epa per play on contested throws last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
The Steelers have run successful plays on 8% of plays against a light rush this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Steelers have run successful plays on 9% of pass attempts against a light rush this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The Steelers started 21 drives inside their own 10 yard line last season — T-2nd-most in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
The Ravens defense has allowed 47 receptions for 20+ yards this season — most in NFL.
The Ravens defense has allowed a passer rating of 145.2 against play action passes (69 Pass Attempts) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 100.1.
The Ravens defense allowed successful plays on 27% of plays with a light front last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Ravens defense has allowed rushes of 10+ yards on just 10 of 212 carries (5%) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense: Important Stats
The Steelers defense allowed a passer rating of just 51.0 in the red zone (71 Pass Attempts) last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Steelers defense blitzed on 34% of plays in Week 10 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Steelers defense has allowed scores on 7% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Steelers defense forced 8 turnovers in the red zone last season — most in NFL.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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