Eagles Super Bowl Prediction: Odds Breakdown for Philadelphia

min read
Philadelphia Eagles' Jalen Hurts plays during an NFL football game, Thursday, Sept. 14, 2023, in Philadelphia.
(Matt Slocum/AP Photo)
Nick Hennion @nickhennion Jan 09, 2024, 4:10 PM
  • The Philadelphia Eagles have +1300 Super Bowl odds.
  • After starting the season 10-1, the reigning NFC champions finished 1-5.
  • Since their bye week, the Eagles rank 31st in defensive EPA per play.

As of Jan. 9, the Eagles Super Bowl odds are +1300, with an implied probability of 7.1%. Prior to the 2024 NFL season, Philadelphia was +900 to raise the Vince Lombardi Trophy. 

They also possess +700 odds – an implied probability of 12.5% – to win the NFC Championship at the BetMGM online sportsbook

In terms of the Super Bowl, the Eagles finished a semi-popular bet. Philadelphia received 9.1% of all tickets (second-most) and 8.4% of the handle (fourth-most). 

Super Bowl 58 Betting Prediction

Too many injury concerns on both sides of the ball prevent me from backing the Eagles in the futures market. For an NFC pick, check out my 49ers Super Bowl Prediction

After an amazing 10-1 start to the regular season, Philly’s underlying metrics fell off a cliff toward the end of the season, largely because of their offense. 

In Week 1 through Week 12, the Eagles ranked fifth in offensive EPA per play and 23rd in defensive EPA per play. 

From Week 13 onward – they lost five of six over that span – their offense regressed to 14th in EPA per play while their defense also dropped to 31st in EPA per play. 

Starting with Week 13, bettors saw them surrender 42 points to the 49ers and 33 points to the Cowboys, likely their challengers for the NFC crown. 

Given the Eagles lost both of those games, I question their path to the Super Bowl, even if they win their wild-card game against the Buccaneers. 

Unless surprise riddles the first playoff round, head coach Nick Sirianni’s team will play most of their games away from home. 

Entering the playoffs, the Eagles have lost three straight road games and four of their previous six. 

Against good home teams like the 49ers, Cowboys and Lions, the Eagles will easily falter. 

Steer clear of the Eagles in the futures market accordingly.

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About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.