- The Ravens are -9.5 point favorites vs the Texans
- Total (Over/Under): 45 points
- Watch this AFC Divisional Playoff game on ESPN | ABC
The Houston Texans (10-8) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (11-6) on Jan. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Baltimore, MD.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Texans vs. Ravens Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Texans | +9.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | +350 |
| Ravens | -9.5 -110 | 43.5 -110 | -450 |
Texans vs. Ravens Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this playoff game game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Texans vs Ravens Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Robert Woods has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Noah Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.85 Units / 73% ROI)
Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dalvin Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Keaton Mitchell has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Justice Hill has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Isaiah Likely has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Dalvin Cook has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Texans
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Gus Edwards (Bal) | +550 |
| Lamar Jackson (Bal) | +600 |
| Mark Andrews | +600 |
| Zay Flowers (Bal) | +800 |
| Isaiah Likely (Bal) | +900 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Ravens vs Texans
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Gus Edwards (Bal) | -105 |
| Lamar Jackson (Bal) | +110 |
| Mark Andrews (Bal) | +125 |
| Devin Singletary (Hou) | +140 |
| Zay Flowers (Bal) | +140 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Texans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Collins | 77.5 -115 | 77.5 -115 |
| Zay Flowers | 50.5 -120 | 50.5 -110 |
| Devin Singletary | 15.5 -110 | 15.5 -120 |
| Gus Edwards | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Rashod Bateman | 24.5 -110 | 24.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Texans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Stroud | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 -110 |
| Gus Edwards | 52.5 -115 | 52.5 -115 |
| Lamar Jackson | 51.5 -120 | 51.5 -110 |
| Justice Hill | 20.5 -115 | 20.5 -115 |
| Devin Singletary | 60.5 -115 | 60.5 -115 |
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 10-8 (+1.1 Units / 5.49% ROI).
- Texans are 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 27.04% ROI
- Texans are 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI
- Texans are 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / ROI
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens went 11-6 (+4.4 Units / 23.4% ROI).
- Ravens are 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 14.03% ROI
- Ravens are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
- Ravens are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Texans are winless (0-5) vs top 10 defenses this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Texans are winless (0-9) vs top 10 defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Texans are 2-11 (.154) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Texans are 7-2 (.778) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Ravens are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are undefeated (4-0) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .459.
The Ravens are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Ravens are undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 run defenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have scored on 40% of their drives in the second half this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Texans defense has allowed scores on 42.1% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Ravens have rushed the ball on 58.3% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone this season — 4th-highest in NFL. The Texans have allowed 18 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — T-4th-most in NFL.
Ravens RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 12.3% of 716 carries since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Texans have allowed 10+ yards on 12.8% of carries to RBs since the 2022 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
The Texans have run just 39.1% offensive plays in on their opponent’s side of the field since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL. Ravens have allowed their opponents to run just 42.4% of plays in their territory since the 2022 season — 5th-best in NFL.
Texans RBs have averaged just 6.0 yards after the catch since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 7.1 yards after catch per reception to RBs since the 2022 season — 4th-best in NFL.
Texans RBs have averaged just 6.1 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Ravens have allowed just 6.9 yards after catch per reception to RBs this season — T-4th-best in NFL.
Houston Texans Offense: Important Stats
The Texans have 84 of 299 (28%) first downs have come on the ground (28%) this season — 2nd-lowest in NFL; League Avg: 37%.
The Texans have run successful plays on 29% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Texans have thrown 65% of their pass attempts 1 to 10 yards downfield this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 71%.
The Texans had 6 receptions for 20+ yards in Week 18 — T-most in NFL.
Baltimore Ravens Offense: Important Stats
The Ravens have rushed for 20+ yards 21 times this season — 2nd-most in NFL.
The Ravens targeted TEs 51% of the time (57 Pass Attempts/112 plays) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
The Ravens targeted TEs 42% of the time (203 Pass Attempts/488 plays) in the 2022 season — highest in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Ravens have faced a blitz just 5% of the time on 3rd and short since the 2022 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
Houston Texans Defense: Important Stats
The Texans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 64.7 in the red zone (63 Pass Attempts) this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 93.0.
The Texans defense has allowed a passer rating of just 67.1 in the red zone (129 Pass Attempts) since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 93.4.
The Texans defense has allowed 32 TD passes since the 2022 season — fewest in NFL.
The Texans defense has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 15 of 565 attempts (3%) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 1%.
Baltimore Ravens Defense: Important Stats
25% of the plays run against the Ravens have been in the red zone in the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 16%.
The Ravens defense has allowed 5 rushing TDs on 47 carries (9.4 Carries Per TD) in the red zone this season — 2nd-best Carries Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 5.6.
The Ravens defense has allowed a passer rating of just 74.5 (634 Pass Attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 89.0.
The Ravens defense has allowed just 5.1 yards per dropback (3,249 yards/634 attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.5.
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