- The Packers are -2.5 point favorites vs the Vikings
- Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
- Watch this game on CBS
The Minnesota Vikings (3-0-0) visit Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (2-1-0) on Sep. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Green Bay, WI.
The Packers are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Vikings vs. Packers Over/Under is 43.5 total points for the game.
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Vikings vs. Packers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Vikings | +2.5 -105 | 43.5 -110 | +115 |
| Packers | -2.5 -115 | 43.5 -110 | -135 |
Vikings vs. Packers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Packers will win this game with 51.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Vikings vs Packers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Vikings will cover the spread with 61.0% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Vikings players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Vikings Player Prop Bets Today
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Justin Jefferson has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- T.J. Hockenson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Aaron Jones has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Oliver has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 57% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Packers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Packers Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.10 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.45 Units / 85% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Packers vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Watson (GB) | 33.5 -110 | 33.5 -120 |
| Justin Jefferson (MIN) | 80.5 -115 | 80.5 -120 |
| Romeo Doubs (GB) | 39.5 -120 | 39.5 -110 |
| Jayden Reed (GB) | 48.5 -120 | 48.5 -110 |
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 21.5 -115 | 21.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Packers vs Vikings
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones (MIN) | 56.5 -120 | 56.5 -110 |
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -115 |
Vikings Best Bets:
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the 3Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.65 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+7.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Minnesota Vikings have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+7.40 Units / 70% ROI)
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+7.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 games (+5.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have scored last in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.75 Units / 59% ROI)
Vikings Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Vikings art 3-0 (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Vikings are 3-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 125.81% ROI
- Vikings are 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Vikings are 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / ROI
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers are 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Packers are 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 50% ROI
- Packers are 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Packers are 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Minnesota Vikings: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The Vikings were winless (0-4) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Vikings are winless (0-3) after a road win since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .466.
The Vikings were 2-6 (.250) at home last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .558.
The Vikings were 1-4 (.200) vs top 10 offenses last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .359.
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Vikings
The Packers were undefeated (3-0) when allowing less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities last season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .654.
The Packers are 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — T-2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .484.
The Packers were 5-8 (.385) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
The Packers were 4-1 (.800) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.
Additional Matchup Notes for Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers
The Packers have been successful on 57.4% of plays they have ran against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed their opponents to be successful on 54.0% of plays with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have run successful plays on 61.2% of pass attempts against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Vikings have allowed successful plays on 57.3% of pass attempts with a heavy rush since the 2023 season — 4th-worst in NFL.
The Packers have run successful plays on just 16.7% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The Vikings have pressured opposing QBs on 37.7% of passing plays this season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Vikings have been successful on just 28.1% of plays they have ran against a light rush since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Packers have allowed their opponents to be successful on just 28.6% of plays with a light rush since the 2023 season — 4th-best in NFL.
The Vikings ran successful plays on just 26.3% of rush attempts against a base front last week — 5th-worst in NFL. The Packers allowed successful plays on just 25.0% of rush attempts with a base front last week — 4th-best in NFL.
The Vikings have thrown for 20+ yards on 82 of 709 attempts since the 2023 season — 2nd-best in NFL. The Packers allowed 20+ yards on 10.6% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-3rd-worst in NFL.
Minnesota Vikings Offense: Important Stats
The Vikings have thrown for 8 TDs this season — most in NFL.
The Vikings have run 39% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 12%.
The Vikings threw for 4 TDs in Week 3 — T-most in NFL.
The Vikings had 24 receptions for 20+ yards in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — most in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers have rushed for 20+ yards 7 times this season — most in NFL.
The Packers ran 53% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Packers have scored on 47% of their drives in the 3rd quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Packers ran 36% of their plays in the red zone in the 1st quarter in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
Minnesota Vikings Defense: Important Stats
The Vikings defense allowed successful plays on 29% of rush attempts with a base rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense blitzed on 78% of plays in Week 3 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Vikings defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of rush attempts with a base rush since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Vikings defense has allowed scores on 12% of opponent drives in the 1st half this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 28% of pass attempts with a stacked front since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 50%.
The Packers defense has forced 9 turnovers this season — most in NFL.
The Packers defense averaged a turnover percentage of 6% (3 / 53) in Week 3 — best in NFL; League Avg: 2%.
The Packers defense has allowed successful plays on 53% of rush attempts in the 3rd quarter since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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