- North Carolina (12-7) is a -6.5 point favorite vs Florida State (11-7)
- Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
- North Carolina / Florida State TV channel: ESPN
The North Carolina Tar Heels (12-7) visit Donald L. Tucker Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles (11-7) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Tallahassee, FL.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The North Carolina vs. Florida State Over/Under is 153.5 total points.
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North Carolina vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina | -6.5 -110 | O 153.5 -110 | -275 |
| Florida State | +6.5 -110 | U 153.5 -110 | +225 |
North Carolina vs Florida State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 73.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina vs Florida State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 13 away games (+10.85 Units / 73% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games (+1.20 Units / 1% ROI)
Florida State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 12-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.25 Units / 20.24% ROI).
- 12-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 11.72% ROI
- 9-10 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -10% ROI
- 10-9 when betting the Under for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Florida State has a 10-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.3 Units / 6.27% ROI).
- 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -10.46% ROI
- 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
- 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 308 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 23.3 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.5
North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,211 free throw attempts/3,179 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina has 564 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams
Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has a TS% of 45% this season — 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Florida State has averaged 1.06 points per shot (638 points/601 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.18
Florida State has a 38% free throw rate (439 free throw attempts/1,171 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Florida State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (267/391) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (82/314) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (230/589) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (125/440) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (467/1,182) this season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%
Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Florida State has 174 steals this season — most among ACC Teams
Florida State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (255/697) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%
Florida State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (174 steals/19 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9
Florida State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (174 steals/19 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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