- Duke (18-12) is a -11.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (14-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
- North Carolina State / Duke TV channel: ESPN
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (14-18) visit Capital One Arena to take on the Duke Blue Devils (18-12) on Mar. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Washington, DC.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The North Carolina State vs. Duke Over/Under is 148.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| North Carolina State | +11.5 -110 | O 148.5 -110 | +525 |
| Duke | -11.5 -110 | U 148.5 -110 | -750 |
North Carolina State vs Duke Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 87.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina State vs Duke Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+3.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 2% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.00 Units / 3% ROI)
North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina State has a 14-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.9 Units / -16.21% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.9% ROI
- 19-13 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 12.93% ROI
- 13-19 when betting the Under for -7.85 Units / -21.66% ROI
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 18-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.8 Units / 14.08% ROI).
- 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -2.81% ROI
- 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.75 Units / -19.82% ROI
- 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.7 Units / 10.83% ROI
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7
North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (365 assists/ 221 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Duke is shooting 41% from three (100/241) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (193 assists/ 102 TOs) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3
Duke is shooting 48% (664/1,374) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5
North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Duke has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,573 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (388/1,242) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Duke has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,843 points/3,406 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.20
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