- North Carolina (16-12) is a -10.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (12-15)
- Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
- North Carolina State / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN
The North Carolina State Wolfpack (12-15) visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-12) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 153.5 total points.
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North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
North Carolina State | +10.5 -110 | O 153.5 -110 | +475 |
North Carolina | -10.5 -110 | U 153.5 -110 | -650 |
North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
North Carolina State vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.
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North Carolina State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina State has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.55 Units / -14.75% ROI).
- 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 19.45% ROI
- 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.65 Units / -28.13% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.75 Units / 8.9% ROI).
- 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 3.24% ROI
- 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -11.65% ROI
- 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.28% ROI
North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7
North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1
North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams
North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5
North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1
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