North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis directs his team against Boston College during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2024, 12:31 PM
  • North Carolina (16-12) is a -10.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (12-15)
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • North Carolina State / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (12-15) visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-12) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+10.5 -110O 153.5 -110+475
North Carolina -10.5 -110U 153.5 -110-650

North Carolina State vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+4.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+4.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+2.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.55 Units / -14.75% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.37% ROI
  • 17-10 when betting the Over for +6 Units / 19.45% ROI
  • 10-17 when betting the Under for -8.65 Units / -28.13% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.75 Units / 8.9% ROI).

  • 18-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 3.24% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.6 Units / -11.65% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.28% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams

North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30

North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.