North Carolina State vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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Pittsburgh head coach Jeff Capel questions a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:42 AM
  • Pittsburgh (18-9) is a -7.5 point favorite vs North Carolina State (13-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • North Carolina State / Pittsburgh TV channel: CW

The North Carolina State Wolfpack (13-16) visit Petersen Events Center to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers (18-9) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 7:45pm EST in Pittsburgh, PA.

Pittsburgh is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (+100).

The North Carolina State vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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North Carolina State vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
North Carolina State+7.5 -120O 144.5 -115+260
Pittsburgh -7.5 +100U 144.5 -105-350

North Carolina State vs Pittsburgh Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this college basketball game with 75.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

North Carolina State vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina State will cover the spread with 52.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • NC State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.25 Units / 6% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+1.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 32 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.10 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+12.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+3.00 Units / 26% ROI)

North Carolina State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina State has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.65 Units / -14.07% ROI).

  • 13-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.75 Units / -2.48% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.5% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.65 Units / -20.18% ROI

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has a 18-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+8.1 Units / 24.4% ROI).

  • 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 5.43% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 8.81% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -16.92% ROI

North Carolina State Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

North Carolina State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (205 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

North Carolina State has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (527 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has attempted 308 threes in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has attempted 619 threes this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has made 276 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has made 9.1 three-pointers per game this season — 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

North Carolina State Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina State has 445 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among ACC Teams

North Carolina State has averaged 8.8 steals per game (307 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

North Carolina State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

North Carolina State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (445 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,552 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 26.5 defensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (159/527) this season — 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.3 steals per game (127 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.