Northern Iowa vs Valparaiso Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

min read
College Basketball Betting Previews
(Shutterstock/Melinda Nagy)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 14, 2024, 11:49 AM
  • Northern Iowa (11-13) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Valparaiso (14-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Northern Iowa / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+

The Northern Iowa Panthers (11-13) visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons (14-10) on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.

Northern Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

Bet now on Valparaiso vs Northern Iowa & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Northern Iowa vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Iowa-7.5 -110O 143.5 -110-350
Valparaiso +7.5 -110U 143.5 -110+280

Northern Iowa vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Iowa will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northern Iowa vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Valparaiso will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Valparaiso vs Northern Iowa and all games with BetMGM


  • Northern Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 29 games (+4.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Northern Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Iowa has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -12.52% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.75 Units / -6.93% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.45 Units / -20.64% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Under for +2.95 Units / 11.17% ROI

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 14-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3 Units / 11.34% ROI).

  • 5-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.45 Units / -39.29% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.52% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.05 Units / -4% ROI

Northern Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (429 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Northern Iowa has averaged 72.5 points per game (1,741 points/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 73.4

Northern Iowa has averaged 7.8 offensive rebounds per game (186 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 35th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Northern Iowa has averaged 71.2 points per game (3,985 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.4

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso is shooting 41% (596/1,457) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Valparaiso has averaged 1.12 points per shot (1,630 points/1,457 shots) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Valparaiso has 16.1 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 30th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Northern Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 6.1 steals per game (147 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Northern Iowa has allowed 8.6 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 15th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Northern Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (188/550) this season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Northern Iowa has allowed 70.3 points per game (3,939 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.4

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso has averaged 6.3 steals per game (151 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Valparaiso has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (642/1,398) this season — 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Valparaiso has forced 11.6 turnovers per game (651 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Valparaiso has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (4,133 points/3,280 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


Bet now on Valparaiso vs Northern Iowa and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

betmgm-nco-jamie-foxx
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.