- Michigan State (16-12) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Northwestern (15-12)
- Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
- Northwestern / Michigan State TV channel: BTN
The Northwestern Wildcats (15-12) visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans (16-12) on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in East Lansing, MI.
Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The Northwestern vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.
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Northwestern vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northwestern | +9.5 -115 | O 135.5 -115 | +340 |
| Michigan State | -9.5 -105 | U 135.5 -105 | -450 |
Northwestern vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 83.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Northwestern vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.
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Northwestern Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 28 games (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Northwestern have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+5.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)
Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Northwestern has a 15-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 5.64% ROI).
- 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 15.92% ROI
- 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.36% ROI
- 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI).
- 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.95 Units / -22.87% ROI
- 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.65 Units / -14.53% ROI
- 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.75 Units / 5.5% ROI
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:
Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Northwestern has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (540 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Northwestern has averaged 9.2 turnovers per game (211 turnovers/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4
Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (373 assists/ 211 TOs) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (414 assists/ 237 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (413/1,076) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (142/372) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has averaged 4.3 turnovers per game (103 turnovers/24 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2
Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:
Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1
Northwestern has averaged 22.4 defensive rebounds per game (515 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Northwestern has 176 steals this season — 3rd most among Big 10 Teams
Northwestern has allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (1,406 points/1,044 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,575 points/1,348 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (185/586) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%
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