Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 10:38 AM
  • Purdue (12-7) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Northwestern (9-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Northwestern / Purdue TV channel: BTN

The Northwestern Wildcats (9-9) visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers (12-7) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in West Lafayette, IN.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-105).

The Northwestern vs. Purdue Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Northwestern vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern+13.5 -115O 141.5 -105+625
Purdue -13.5 -105U 141.5 -115-1000

Northwestern vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 89.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Northwestern vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 30 games (+11.60 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 15 away games (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 34 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games at home (+12.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.08% ROI).

  • 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 19.14% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 19.55% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -28.18% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 13-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.3 Units / 22.94% ROI).

  • 14-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.3 Units / 8.36% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting the Over for +6.3 Units / 27.33% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting the Under for -8.45 Units / -36.5% ROI

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (306 assists/ 170 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Northwestern has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (170 turnovers/19 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.5

Northwestern has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (499 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7

Northwestern has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (499 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has averaged 1.42 points per shot (1,783 points/1,252 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Purdue has averaged 1.40 points per shot (893 points/636 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue has averaged 1.42 points per shot (1,783 points/1,252 shots) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28

Purdue has averaged 1.36 points per shot (4,326 points/3,188 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (419 rebounds/19 games) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.3

Northwestern has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,252 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern has averaged 8.0 steals per game (279 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Northwestern has 150 steals this season — tied for 4th most among Big 10 Teams

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,561 points/1,400 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Purdue has allowed an average of 0.99 points per shot (1,630 points/1,640 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.09

Purdue has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (3,641 points/3,356 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Purdue has averaged 29.5 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/21 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.