- North Carolina (16-13) is a -15.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame (16-13)
- Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
- Notre Dame / North Carolina TV channel: ACCN
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (16-13) visit Dean E. Smith Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-13) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Chapel Hill, NC.
North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-105).
The Notre Dame vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 138.5 total points.
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Notre Dame vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Notre Dame | +15.5 -115 | O 138.5 -115 | +800 |
| North Carolina | -15.5 -105 | U 138.5 -105 | -1400 |
Notre Dame vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 94.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Notre Dame vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 53.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Notre Dame Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.25 Units / 7% ROI)
North Carolina Basketball Best Bets Today:
- North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+7.70 Units / 8% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- North Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- North Carolina have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.55 Units / 5% ROI)
Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Notre Dame has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.85 Units / 5.83% ROI).
- 11-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 10-19 when betting the Over for -10.9 Units / -34.06% ROI
- 19-10 when betting the Under for +8.1 Units / 25.47% ROI
North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
North Carolina has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.65 Units / 5.16% ROI).
- 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 3.89% ROI
- 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.7 Units / -14.69% ROI
- 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.35% ROI
Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:
Notre Dame has averaged 4.0 assists per game (93 assists/23 games) in the second half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Notre Dame is shooting 26% from three (66/258) in the second half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%
Notre Dame has averaged 1.12 points per shot (1,415 points/1,266 shots) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28
Notre Dame has averaged 61.5 points per game (1,415 points/23 games) this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 75.1
North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has 349 offensive rebounds on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has 677 defensive rebounds this season — most among ACC Teams
North Carolina has averaged 10.2 turnovers per game (235 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
North Carolina has a 38% free throw rate (1,302 free throw attempts/3,445 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:
Notre Dame has averaged 5.8 steals per game (133 steals/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Notre Dame has averaged 5.1 steals per game (107 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.9
Notre Dame has averaged 5.2 steals per game (177 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5
Notre Dame has forced 8.9 turnovers per game (187 turnovers/21 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 11.0
North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
North Carolina has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (807 points/717 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.30
North Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (282/717) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%
North Carolina has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (677 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.1
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