Ohio State vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 25, 2024, 10:40 AM
  • Michigan State (15-11) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Ohio State (10-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
  • Ohio State / Michigan State TV channel: CBS

The Ohio State Buckeyes (10-16) visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans (15-11) on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Ohio State vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Ohio State vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State+9.5 -105O 138.5 -110+400
Michigan State -9.5 -115U 138.5 -110-550

Ohio State vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 83.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ohio State vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+3.80 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 15 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+2.15 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+0.55 Units / 2% ROI)

Ohio State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ohio State has a 10-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.65 Units / -25.71% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -19.89% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.9 Units / 9.76% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.15 Units / -18.14% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.55 Units / -15.27% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.85 Units / 6.25% ROI

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has averaged 6.1 assists per game (347 assists/57 games) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Ohio State is shooting 75% from the free throw line (442/591) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Ohio State is shooting 36% from three (401/1,121) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ohio State is shooting 76% from the free throw line (328/432) this season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (414 assists/ 237 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (413/1,076) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (142/372) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has averaged 4.3 turnovers per game (103 turnovers/24 games) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ohio State has forced 9.7 turnovers per game (406 turnovers/42 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.7

Ohio State has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (3,937 points/3,351 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Ohio State has forced 8.8 turnovers per game (132 turnovers/15 games) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.4

Ohio State has forced 10.6 turnovers per game (602 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed an average of 1.17 points per shot (1,575 points/1,348 shots) this season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (185/586) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (538/1,348) this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.