PGA Tour Betting: Can Sam Burns Be Another Repeat Champion?

min read
Sam Burns hits off the third tee during the second round of the Tour Championship golf tournament at East Lake Golf Club, Friday, Aug. 26, 2022, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
Ryan Hannable @RyanHannable Sep 27, 2022, 1:08 PM

Repeat champions have been a trend of late on the PGA Tour.

After three players defended their titles from the year prior during the 2021-22 PGA Tour season, Max Homa defended his title at the Fortinet Championship in the first event of the 2022-23 season two weeks ago. 

This week, Sam Burns is the defending champion at the Sanderson Farms Championship, and the golf betting world seems to think he will make it back-to-back defending champions to start the season.

As of Tuesday at the BetMGM online sportsbook, Burns, who has PGA Tour odds of +1000, is pulling in the most tickets (10.4%) and the most handle (22.3%). The handle is miles ahead of the next player – Sahith Theegala (9.5%).

A year ago, Burns finished the week at 22-under, one stroke ahead of Nick Watney and Cameron Young. At the time, it was his second PGA Tour win. Burns has won twice since, including the 2022 Valspar Championship, where he defended his title from 2021.

Ranked No. 12 in the world, Burns enters the week following a mediocre performance at the Presidents Cup. He went 0-3-2 in his matches, including tying Hideki Matsuyama in the Sunday singles. He will be the only member of Team USA to play this week.

The Country Club of Jackson (Mississippi) will host the tournament, a course that has favored the best drivers of late. Burns ranked 24th on Tour last season in driving distance, which should help him out this week.

It’s also worth noting this event is one of the closest to his hometown in Louisana, so he surely will have some support from the crowds.

Theegala (+1800), still seeking his first career win, is also drawing the second-most tickets (7.9%).

He held at least a share of the lead after the first three rounds last year until a final round 71 had him finish the week T-8. Those good vibes from a year ago, combined with a T-6 finish at the Fortinet Championship, should give Theegala plenty of confidence.

Current Handle & Tickets

Handle

  1. Sam Burns – 22.3%
  2. Sahith Theegala – 9.5%
  3. Denny McCarthy– 8.7%
  4. Taylor Montgomery – 6.3%
  5. Davis Riley – 6%

Tickets

  1. Sam Burns– 10.4%
  2. Sahith Theegala – 7.9%
  3. J.T. Poston – 6.3%
  4. Denny McCarthy– 4.4%
  5. Davis Riley – 4.2%

McCarthy, who has the third-most handle and fourth-most tickets, is +2800. He’s yet to win on the PGA Tour but has had some success at The Country Club of Jackson. In his last four starts at the Sanderson Farms Championship, he’s finished 17th, 6th, 18th and 7th.

Riley (+3300) is similar to Theegala as both seek their first PGA Tour win following strong rookie seasons. He tailed off toward the end of the year and missed the cut at the Fortinet Championship, which is likely why his odds are much higher.

Jamie Foxx holding a mobile phone next to the BetMGM's risk-free bet offer.
About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”

Ryan Hannable is a copy editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”