British Open Picks 2023: 1 of These 10 Players Will Win

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Scottie Scheffler holds up his ball after chipping in for birdie on the third hole during the final round at the Masters golf tournament on Sunday, April 10, 2022, in Augusta, Ga.
(AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)
Ryan Hannable @RyanHannable Jul 19, 2023, 8:33 AM
  • The British Open is July 20-23 from Royal Liverpool.
  • Most winners are at the top of the odds board, but occasionally there’s a long shot.
  • Rory McIlroy (+700) has the best odds to win.

It’s officially British Open week, and a unique one from a golf betting perspective, as players will take on Royal Liverpool in England. This links-style course is much different than most on the PGA Tour.

There are plenty of storylines to follow, including Rory McIlroy looking to ride the momentum from his win last week at the Genesis Scottish Open to win his first major since 2013, Scottie Scheffler potentially winning his second major, as well as the LIV players, who have already have one major this year (Brooks Koepka, PGA Championship).

McIlroy has the best odds to win this week at +650.

Picking an outright winner is extremely hard, but there are some trends to know for this week.

 

British Open Betting Strategy

Since this is a major championship, naturally, one of the best players in the game is going to win. Although, if there’s one major that caters to longer shots, it’s this one.

Like most events, current form does come into play, so it’s important to look at how a player is performing at the moment.

Royal Liverpool and links-style golf is much different than typical tournaments on the PGA Tour, so it will be worth taking note of the players who have had success at the British Open, as well as other events in Europe in the past.

Weather will dictate the scores; if the wind and rain pick up, the scores will not be very low, and it will be about avoiding bogeys and making pars. But, if there’s no wind, it could turn into a birdie-fest.

Picking A British Open Winner

Nine of Last 10 Winners Were Ranked Inside Top 33 of Official World Golf Rankings

  1. Scottie Scheffler
  2. Rory McIlroy
  3. Jon Rahm
  4. Patrick Cantlay
  5. Viktor Hovland
  6. Xander Schauffele
  7. Cameron Smith
  8. Max Homa
  9. Matt Fitzpatrick
  10. Wyndham Clark
  11. Jordan Spieth
  12. Brooks Koepka
  13. Tyrrell Hatton
  14. Will Zalatoris
  15. Keegan Bradley
  16. Tony Finau
  17. Sam Burns
  18. Cameron Young
  19. Collin Morikawa
  20. Justin Thomas
  21. Tommy Fleetwood
  22. Rickie Fowler
  23. Sungjae Im
  24. Tom Kim
  25. Kurt Kitayama
  26. Brian Harman
  27. Jason Day
  28. Sepp Straka
  29. Shane Lowry
  30. Corey Conners
  31. Russell Henley
  32. Justin Rose
  33. Denny McCarthy

Based on recent history, these are the 32 players (Zalatoris is out due to injury) with a chance to win going into the week based on the Official World Golf Ranking.

Last 10 Winners Had Previous Top-2 Finish in Major

  1. Scheffler
  2. McIlroy
  3. Rahm
  4. Hovland
  5. Schauffele
  6. Smith
  7. Fitzpatrick
  8. Clark
  9. Spieth
  10. Koepka
  11. Bradley
  12. Young
  13. Morikawa
  14. Thomas
  15. Fleetwood
  16. Fowler
  17. Im
  18. Harman
  19. Day
  20. Lowry
  21. Rose

Eliminated: Cantlay, Homa, Hatton, Finau, Burns, Kim, Kitayama, Straka, Conners, Henley, McCarthy

Past history has shown success at a previous major is needed to win.

Nine of Last 10 Winners Had Top-20 Finish in Previous 2 Majors

  1. Scheffler
  2. McIlroy
  3. Rahm
  4. Hovland
  5. Schauffele
  6. Smith
  7. Fitzpatrick
  8. Clark
  9. Koepka
  10. Morikawa
  11. Fleetwood
  12. Fowler
  13. Lowry
  14. Rose

Eliminated: Spieth, Bradley, Young, Thomas, Im, Harman, Day

Based on recent years, recent success in a major is required to win a British Open.

Last 5 Winners Won a Tournament Earlier in Season

  1. Scheffler
  2. McIlroy
  3. Rahm
  4. Hovland
  5. Smith
  6. Fitzpatrick
  7. Clark
  8. Koepka
  9. Fowler
  10. Rose

Eliminated: Schauffele, Morikawa, Fleetwood, Lowry

Also, eight of the last 10 winners had won earlier in the season. 

Based on these trends, the winner will either be one of those 10 players. Keep this in mind when making your British Open picks this week.

Odds to Win the British Open

Throughout the entire year, you can bet on odds to win the British Open at the best online sportsbook.

As Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris, and more elite players from around the world compete in The Open Championship, you can view updated odds for tournament winner.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor, longtime golf fan who places a few bets per year, or a diehard breaking down wind trends, it’s never been easier to bet online!

Sign in to your account today — or, if you don’t have an account, sign up today with a sportsbook welcome bonus — to start betting. And don’t forget to check updated sportsbook bonuses and promos each day of the year.

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About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, “The Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.”