PGA Championship Picks 2024: 1 of These 9 Players Will Win

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Scottie Scheffler laughs on the driving range during a practice round in preparation for the Masters golf tournament at Augusta National Golf Club Tuesday, April 9, 2024, in Augusta, Ga.
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
Ryan Hannable @RyanHannable May 13, 2024, 8:51 AM

Itโ€™s officially PGA Championship week and one of the best of the year forย golf betting.

There are plenty of storylines to follow, including Rory McIlroy, coming off two straight wins, looking to win a major for the first time since 2014 (which came at Valhalla Golf Club, the site of this week’s tournament), Jordan Spieth trying to complete the career Grand Slam, Brooks Koepka looking to defend his title and many more.

Going into the week, Scottie Scheffler has the best odds to win this week at +450. He’s won the last three times he’s teed it up.

Picking an outright winner is extremely hard, but there are some trends to know for this week at Valhalla.

PGA Championship Betting Strategy

Since this is a major championship, naturally, one of the best players in the game is going to win. While there have been a few outliers in recent years at this event, it is best to select the top players and stay away from long shots.

Like most events, current form does come into play, so itโ€™s important to look at how a player is performing at the moment.

Unlike Augusta National for the Masters and other courses for regular PGA Tour events, Valhalla doesnโ€™t host major tournaments often. The last time it hosted a major was the 2014 PGA Championship, so there isnโ€™t much course history.

Picking a PGA Championship Winner

9 of Last 12 Winners Were Ranking 21st or Better in Official World Golf Rankings

*With LIV Golf not counting toward Official World Golf Ranking points, we’ll take the top 21 players in Data Golf’s rankings.

    1. Scottie Scheffler
    2. Xander Schauffele
    3. Ludvig Aberg
    4. Rory McIlroy
    5. Jon Rahm
    6. Patrick Cantlay
    7. Joaquin Niemann
    8. Tyrrell Hatton
    9. Collin Morikawa
    10. Viktor Hovland
    11. Wyndham Clark
    12. Russell Henley
    13. Tommy Fleetwood
    14. Sahith Theegala
    15. Max Homa
    16. Matt Fitzpatrick
    17. Hideki Matsuyama
    18. Bryson DeChambeau
    19. Denny McCarthy
    20. Justin Thomas
    21. Si Woo Kim

Based on recent history, these are the 21 players with a chance to win going into the week based on world ranking.

9 of Last 11 Winners Posted Top 20 in Previous Start

  1. Scheffler
  2. Schauffele
  3. Aberg
  4. McIlroy
  5. Rahm
  6. Niemann
  7. Hatton
  8. Morikawa
  9. Henley
  10. Fleetwood
  11. Homa
  12. McCarthy
  13. Kim

Eliminated: Cantlay, Hovland, Clark, Theegala, Fitzpatrick, Matsuyama, DeChambeau, Thomas

Recent history has shown recent form is important going into the event. The golfers above did not have a top-20 finish in their most recent start.

8 of Last 11 Winners Had Top-10 Finish in One of the Previous 2 Major Championships

  1. Scheffler
  2. Schauffele
  3. Aberg
  4. McIlroy
  5. Rahm
  6. Hatton
  7. Morikawa
  8. Fleetwood
  9. Homa

Eliminated: Niemann, Henley, McCarthy, Kim

Based on these trends, the winner will be one of the nine players above.

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Whether you’re a first-time bettor browsing PGA Championship odds or a longtime fan monitoring live betting odds for the BMW Championship, there’s something for everyone.

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About the Author

Ryan Hannable

Read More @RyanHannable

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, โ€œThe Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.โ€

Ryan Hannable is a Content Managing Editor on the Web Content Team for BetMGM. Previously, he was a New England Patriots beat writer for WEEI in Boston. He also has published a golf book, โ€œThe Ultimate Book of Golf Trivia: 600 Questions and Answers.โ€