Portland vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 11, 2024, 11:39 AM
  • Saint Mary’s (6-10) is a -19.5 point favorite vs Portland (7-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Portland / Saint Mary’s TV channel: ESPNU

The Portland Pilots (7-7) visit University Credit Union Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels (6-10) on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Moraga, CA.

Saint Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -19.5 (-110).

The Portland vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

Bet now on Saint Mary’s vs Portland & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Portland vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Portland+19.5 -110O 134.5 -105+1100
Saint Mary’s -19.5 -110U 134.5 -115-2500

Portland vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Portland vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Saint Mary’s vs Portland and all games with BetMGM


  • Portland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Portland has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+15.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 33 games (+0.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 21 games at home (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Portland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Portland has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / 0% ROI
  • 4-10 when betting the Over for -7 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / 0% ROI

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has a 6-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.25 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.85 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.75 Units / 0% ROI

Portland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Portland has a 39% free throw rate (1,077 free throw attempts/2,763 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 32%

Portland is shooting 36% from three (448/1,249) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Portland is shooting 45% (421/928) this season — 4th best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 45%

Portland has made 9.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has 256 offensive rebounds this season — most among West Coast Conference Teams

Saint Mary’s has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (574 turnovers/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Saint Mary’s has averaged 12.4 offensive rebounds per game (645 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Saint Mary’s has 257 assists this season — tied for most among West Coast Conference Teams

Portland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Portland has averaged 5.1 steals per game (249 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Portland has allowed 10.0 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Portland has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (492/1,337) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Portland has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,375/3,049) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s has allowed 59.9 points per game (3,117 points/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 72.6

Saint Mary’s has 119 steals this season — tied for 3rd most among West Coast Conference Teams

Saint Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (350/902) this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Saint Mary’s has allowed 5.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


Bet now on Saint Mary’s vs Portland and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you don’t have an account, check out BetMGM’s welcome offer.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.