- Fulham is a +0.5-goal home underdog against Arsenal.
- Arsenal has won 24 of its last 32 English Premier League matches.
- My Fulham vs. Arsenal prediction is the Arsenal moneyline.
Off a strong home win over Manchester United, Arsenal stays in London for a derby against Fulham at Craven Cottage.
Mikel Arteta’s side captured a 2-0 win over Manchester United, their fourth straight win in all competitions. Currently, Arsenal sits seven points behind league leaders Liverpool.
Now, they’ll head to Craven Cottage seeking revenge over Fulham, which captured a 2-1 win over Arsenal in the last head-to-head meeting.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Fulham vs. Arsenal prediction.
Fulham vs. Arsenal Odds, Premier League
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | -0.5 (-200) | 2.5 (-150) | -175 |
| Fulham | +0.5 (+138) | 2.5 (+110) | +450 |
| Draw | +320 |
Fulham vs. Arsenal Prediction
Based on Arsenal’s strong record off a big win and Fulham’s defensive absentees, my Fulham vs. Arsenal prediction is the Arsenal Moneyline (-175).
Fulham’s result on Thursday against Brighton does not matter one bit to me. This is all about an Arsenal team that has excelled under Arteta off a big win.
Since the 2019 Premier League season, Arsenal is 34-6 SU off a win by two or more goals. When they’re listed at -145 or higher, they improve to a perfect 27-0.
On Sunday, Arsenal gets a Fulham side with some key absences in defense.
Tom Cairney remains out due to a suspension, while defender Joachim Anderson is out with an injury.
That should spell trouble against an Arsenal attack improving since the return of Martin Odegaard.
The Gooners created at least two non-penalty expected goals in each of their previous two matches. Against Manchester United, they notched 3.1 post-shot xG.
It’s also a nice revenge spot for Arsenal, which dropped points in both games at Fulham last year despite dominating the underlying metrics.
Arsenal won the xG battle 1.65-1.22 at Craven Cottage and the post-shot xG battle 1.38-1.02, per fotmob.com.
At home last year, Arsenal drew 2-2 with a 2.4-0.6 edge on non-penalty xG and a 0.98-0.43 edge on non-penalty post-shot xG.
Add in the extra day of rest for Arsenal over Fulham, and I’ll lay the price on the visitors to earn all three points.
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