- Nottingham Forest is a 0.5-goal home favorite against Crystal Palace.
- Nottingham Forest is unbeaten in the last four against Crystal Palace.
- My prediction for Monday’s fixture is Crystal Palace to earn a result.
Monday’s standalone Premier League fixture sees Nottingham Forest welcome Crystal Palace to the City Ground.
Forest hung on for a tough road point at Chelsea before the international break despite having a man sent off. This season, they’ve dropped all three points only once.
As for Crystal Palace, they lost 1-0 to Liverpool just before the break. To date, the Eagles have yet to earn all three points and are currently 18th in the table.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace prediction.
Premier League Odds: Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | +0.5 (-175) | 2.5 (+105) | +210 |
| Nottingham Forest | -0.5 (+125) | 2.5 (-145) | +135 |
| Draw | +225 |
Premier League Betting: Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace Prediction
If Nottingham Forest are without Morgan Gibbs-White for Monday’s match, my Nottingham Forest vs. Crystal Palace prediction is the Crystal Palace Spread (+0.5, -175).
Placing faith in Palace at this price is definitely worrisome. However, Nottingham Forest has struggled as a market favorite this season.
They dropped all three points in a home match against Fulham without Gibbs-White while creating only 0.8 expected goals.
Nuno Espirito Santo’s side has also played to 1-1 draws against both Bournemouth and Wolves as a favorite, leaving them 0-3 in that spot to start the year.
Plus, albeit a super lucky result based on expected goals, Palace held on for a point as heavy road underdogs against Chelsea.
Oliver Glasner also took this side to Forest in March and came out the better side. Palace earned points in a 1-1 draw while winning the expected goals battle 1.2-0.9.
Palace also matches two betting systems in this spot: one suggesting they’ll cover and one suggesting they’ll win.
Since 2012, half-goal underdogs against previous road underdogs in games 2-14 are 96-42 ATS, assuming the spread juice range is between -205 and +101.
Additionally, previous home teams in August-October priced between -205 and +325 are 83-61 SU (58%), including 51% as dogs, assuming three factors:
- The previous head-to-head result falls between +0 and +2
- The favorite’s previous game margin falls between -2 and +0
- The previous game the opponent was the underdog
However, in order to trust Crystal Palace, I need a lineup confirming Gibbs-White’s absence. If he’s out, Palace are worth a bet to snatch points.
Nottingham Forest Record, Last 5 Matches
- Oct. 6 at Chelsea: 1-1, D
- Sept. 28 vs. Fulham: 0-1, L
- Sept. 22 at Brighton: 2-2, D
- Sept. 14 at Liverpool: 1-0, W
- Aug. 31 vs. Wolves: 1-1, D
Crystal Palace Record, Last 5 Matches
- Oct. 5 vs. Liverpool: 0-1, L
- Sept. 28 at Everton: 1-2, L
- Sept. 21 vs. Manchester United: 0-0, D
- Sept. 17 at QPR: 2-1, W (EFL Cup)
- Sept. 14 vs. Leicester City: 2-2, D
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