Nottingham Forest vs. Fulham Prediction, Odds & Match Preview

Nottingham Forest will look to continue their unbeaten run to start the season as home favorites to Fulham on Saturday. 

The Tricky Trees parlayed their 1-0 win at Liverpool on Matchday 3 with a 2-2 draw at Brighton last week. However, they lost Morgan Gibbs-White to a red card in the process last weekend. 

Fulham have also enjoyed a strong start to the season. After losing 1-0 to Manchester United, they’ve produced an unbeaten run in four straight matches. 

Here’s a look at the Premier League odds and my Nottingham Forest vs. Fulham prediction. 

Nottingham Forest vs. Fulham Odds, Premier League

• Nottingham Forest Moneyline: +138
• Fulham Moneyline: +200
• Draw Moneyline: +230
• Over/Under: 2.5 Goals (-110/-130)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes (-135), No (-105)

Nottingham Forest vs. Fulham Prediction: Game Spread

My Nottingham Forest vs. Fulham prediction is the Fulham Spread (+0.5, -175).  

I recognize this is a lot of juice to lay on a team that lost 3-1 in the last head-to-head meeting, but bettors should consider the circumstances around that game. 

Both teams played the match on short rest: The Tuesday game came after both teams played on Saturday. 

However, it was Fulham’s second consecutive road game, while Forest played two straight at home. 

The 3-1 scoreline proved unsurprising because of that timeline, but Fulham actually ran unlucky in that fixture. 

Expected goals finished 1.53 to 1.5 in favor of Forest, with post-shot expected goals giving a 1.4 to 0.6 edge for Forest. 

On Saturday, they’ll be without Morgan Gibbs-White, a vital creator for Forest. Additionally, Fulham have quietly kept three straight opponents under one post-shot xG. 

When these teams met at Craven Cottage, Gibbs-White didn’t appear until halftime. Albeit under a different manager, Forest lost the psxG battle 3.4 to 0.04! 

Fulham also matches a historically profitable system in this match. 

Since 2012, half-goal road underdogs in games 2-10 with six or seven days between games are 71% ATS when the opponent closed an underdog in their previous game. 

When those teams lost the previous head-to-head meeting by two or more goals: 6-0 ATS. 

That system is also 22-6 ATS since the 2020-21 EPL season, including 7-1 when the dog lost the last head-to-head meeting. 

Take Fulham to, at minimum, continue their run of results in this spot. 

Nottingham Forest Record, Last 5 Matches

• Sept. 22 at Brighton: 2-2, D
• Sept. 14 at Liverpool: 1-0, W
• Aug. 31 vs. Wolves: 1-1, D
• Aug. 28 vs. Newcastle: 1-1, D (EFL Cup, Newcastle Advance)
• Aug. 24 at Southampton: 1-0, W

Fulham Record, Last 5 Matches

• Sept. 21 vs. Newcastle: 3-1, W
• Sept. 17 at Preston: 1-1, D (EFL Cup, Fulham Advance)
• Sept. 14 vs. West Ham: 1-1, D
• Aug. 31 at Ipswich: 1-1, D
• Aug. 27 at Birmingham: 2-0, W (EFL Cup)

Visit the BetMGM online sportsbook for the latest Nottingham Forest odds and Fulham odds!