- Tottenham is a +0.5-goal home underdog against Newcastle.
- Tottenham has conceded at least once in 11 straight against Newcastle.
- My Tottenham vs. Newcastle prediction focuses on the pregame total.
Looking for a fifth straight league win, Newcastle travels to North London for a clash with Tottenham.
Eddie Howe’s side captured a 2-0 win at Manchester United on Monday and now sits fifth in the league table. In the reverse fixture, Newcastle handed Tottenham a 2-1 defeat.
Spurs drew 2-2 as home favorites against Wolves on Sunday, extending its winless run to three league games. Currently, Ange Postecoglou’s side sits 11th in the league.
Check out the Premier League odds and my Tottenham vs. Newcastle prediction.
Tottenham vs. Newcastle Odds, Premier League
Tottenham vs. Newcastle Prediction
Based on Tottenham’s injury absentees in defense and the high-flying nature of the reverse fixture, my Tottenham vs. Newcastle prediction is Over 3.5 Goals (-115).
How this game is anything but pure chaos remains a mystery to me.
Spurs lost Destiny Udogie to injury and Rodrigo Bentancur to suspension in the match against Wolves.
With Udogie out, Postecoglou faces Saturday’s match without four defenders, a starting goalkeeper and a starting defensive midfielder.
That’s a lot to overcome against a Newcastle attack that created 2.15 post-shot xG in the last match against Spurs.
Against Wolves, an attack eight spots worse than Newcastle in post-shot xG, Tottenham surrendered 1.86 post-shot xG.
But bettors should also expect a strong showing from the Tottenham attack.
Both Fabian Schar (suspension) and Emil Krafth (injury) deplete a Newcastle backline that has struggled to defend Tottenham.
Spurs created 1.57 post-shot xG at St. James’ Park and amassed 4.65 psxG when these sides last met in North London.
It’s also a strong sell-high spot on the Newcastle defense.
Their four previous league games have come against Leicester City, Ipswich Town, Aston Villa and Manchester United.
But Tottenham’s attack outranks all four of those units in post-shot xG.
Pair that with Newcastle’s injury absentees in defense, and this game has all the makings of a basketball match.
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