Providence vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2024, 11:07 AM
  • UConn (12-8) is a -13.5 point favorite vs Providence (11-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Providence / UConn TV channel: FS1

The Providence Friars (11-8) visit Harry A. Gampel Pavilion to take on the UConn Huskies (12-8) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Storrs, CT.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Providence vs. UConn Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Providence vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Providence+13.5 -110O 139.5 -110+700
UConn -13.5 -110U 139.5 -110-1100

Providence vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UConn will win this college basketball game with 87.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Providence vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Providence will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Providence have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 31 games (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Providence has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 29 games (+22.10 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+11.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.55 Units / 26% ROI)

Providence Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Providence has a 13-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI).

  • 13-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 5.88% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 8-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 11-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 4.34% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.45 Units / 10.9% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.65 Units / -20.23% ROI

Providence Offensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has a 30% free throw rate (357 free throw attempts/1,177 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 27%

Providence has averaged 1.30 points per shot (4,036 points/3,116 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Providence has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.2 (490 assists/ 409 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Providence is shooting 36% from three (90/250) in the first half this season — 3rd best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 35%

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has averaged 41.8 points per game (835 points/20 games) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 38.4

UConn has averaged 1.39 points per shot (1,639 points/1,175 shots) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.27

UConn is shooting 50% (292/584) in the second half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 46%

UConn has averaged 1.36 points per shot (804 points/591 shots) in the first half this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Providence Defensive Stats & Trends:

Providence has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.8

Providence has averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,420 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Providence has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,322 points/1,208 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Providence has averaged 6.8 steals per game (360 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (643/1,625) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 44%

UConn has averaged 26.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,568 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

UConn has allowed 5.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.