Purdue Fort Wayne vs Wright State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 11:51 AM
  • Wright State (13-14) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Purdue Fort Wayne (14-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 167.5 points
  • Purdue Fort Wayne / Wright State TV channel: ESPN+

The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons (14-12) visit Ervin J. Nutter Center to take on the Wright State Raiders (13-14) on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Wright State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Wright State Over/Under is 167.5 total points.

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Purdue Fort Wayne vs. Wright State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue Fort Wayne+5.5 -105O 167.5 -105+210
Wright State -5.5 -115U 167.5 -115-250

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Wright State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Wright State will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Purdue Fort Wayne vs Wright State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue Fort Wayne will cover the spread with 54.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 away games (+6.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Purdue Fort Wayne have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Wright State has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 29 games (+13.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Wright State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Wright State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Wright State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.05 Units / 3% ROI)

Purdue Fort Wayne Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue Fort Wayne has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.75 Units / 2.52% ROI).

  • 16-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -0.86% ROI
  • 16-11 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI
  • 11-16 when betting the Under for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI

Wright State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wright State has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI).

  • 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -6% ROI
  • 21-5 when betting the Over for +15.5 Units / 52.28% ROI
  • 5-21 when betting the Under for -18.15 Units / -61.01% ROI

Purdue Fort Wayne Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 7.3 offensive rebounds per game (183 rebounds/25 games) this season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Purdue Fort Wayne has made 9.4 three-pointers per game this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Purdue Fort Wayne is shooting 36% from three (236/651) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue Fort Wayne has an eFG% of 53% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Wright State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wright State has averaged 1.43 points per shot (2,149 points/1,501 shots) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Wright State is shooting 54% (807/1,501) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Wright State is shooting 54% (807/1,501) this season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 45%

Wright State has a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 48%

Purdue Fort Wayne Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue Fort Wayne has forced 16.7 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/25 games) this season — best among Horizon Teams ; League Avg: 12.3

Purdue Fort Wayne has averaged 9.9 steals per game (247 steals/25 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Purdue Fort Wayne has forced 16.7 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/25 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Purdue Fort Wayne has 247 steals this season — most among Horizon Teams

Wright State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wright State has averaged 23.2 defensive rebounds per game (580 rebounds/25 games) this season — 4th best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Wright State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (352 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Wright State has allowed 81.4 points per game (2,035 points/25 games) this season — tied for 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Wright State has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (741/1,566) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.