- Illinois (15-11) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Purdue (15-12)
- Total (Over/Under): 163.5 points
- Purdue / Illinois TV channel: PEAC
The Purdue Boilermakers (15-12) visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (15-11) on Mar. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Champaign, IL.
Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Purdue vs. Illinois Over/Under is 163.5 total points.
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Purdue vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Purdue | +2.5 -115 | O 163.5 -110 | +115 |
| Illinois | -2.5 -105 | U 163.5 -110 | -135 |
Purdue vs Illinois Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Purdue vs Illinois Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Purdue Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 28 games (+15.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 32 games (+12.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 32 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Purdue has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI).
- 21-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.75 Units / 6.8% ROI
- 20-9 when betting the Over for +10.1 Units / 31.66% ROI
- 9-20 when betting the Under for -13 Units / -40.75% ROI
Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois has a 15-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.85 Units / 8.92% ROI).
- 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.62% ROI
- 21-8 when betting the Over for +12.2 Units / 38.24% ROI
- 8-21 when betting the Under for -15.1 Units / -47.34% ROI
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue has averaged 18.6 assists per game (428 assists/23 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,963 points/1,366 shots) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28
Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,963 points/1,366 shots) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Purdue has averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,963 points/1,366 shots) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3
Illinois is shooting 32% from three (446/1,389) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,896 points/1,449 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (246 assists/ 248 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,630 points/1,465 shots) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Purdue has averaged 29.3 defensive rebounds per game (674 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (3,806 points/3,487 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Purdue has allowed an average of 1.00 points per shot (1,701 points/1,694 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.10
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7
Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Illinois has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,620 points/1,482 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
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