Rangers vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 11, 2024, 10:55 AM
  • Rangers / Angels TV Channel: BSW | MLBN

The Texas Rangers (-110) visit Tempe Diablo Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-110) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Tempe, AZ.

This season, the Rangers are 7-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 8-5 ATS.

Rangers vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Rangers-110
Angels -110

Rangers vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Austin Hedges has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Michael Stefanic has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Livan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mickey Moniak has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 98 of their last 171 games (+14.29 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 8-8 against the Run Line (-0.29 Units / -1.39% ROI).

  • 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.9 Units / -4.66% ROI
  • 6-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.47 Units / -19.91% ROI
  • 9-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.66 Units / 14.93% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Angels are 8-5 against the Run Line (+3.52 Units / 24.33% ROI).

  • 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.41 Units / 57.06% ROI
  • 3-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.83 Units / -55.22% ROI
  • 10-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.75 Units / 46.81% ROI

Nathan Eovaldi had a strike rate of just 59% (392/666) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .164 (33 GB hits out of 201 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi in the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 97th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi allowed an OBP of just .242 (120 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .324 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .282 (74-for-262) against Nathan Eovaldi in non-two strike counts in the 2023 season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 93rd Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Patrick Sandoval walked 66 of 538 right-handed batters (12%) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Patrick Sandoval walked 74 of 652 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 28% (101/361) against Patrick Sandoval in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (36/121) versus Patrick Sandoval with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.

The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Angels were just 29-23 (.558) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Angels are just 8-136 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Angels were just 61-7 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Angels are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.

The Angels batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.

Angels hitters had an OBP of just .309 (2,984 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.

The Angels batted just .223 with two outs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Angels pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Angels vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Kyren Paris (Los Angeles Angels): Thumb, Out
  • Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
  • Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, Out
  • Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
  • Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.