- The Red Sox are -105 favorites vs the Angels
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Tanner Houck
- Angels starting pitcher: Jaime Barría
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Boston Red Sox (-105) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-115) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Red Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Red Sox vs Angels Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Red Sox are 26-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 24-24 ATS.
Red Sox vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -105 | -105 |
| Angels | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 -115 | -115 |
Red Sox vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 53.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Red Sox and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+15.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+14.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+14.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gio Urshela has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+11.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Mike Trout has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+11.25 Units / 79% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+11.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Hunter Renfroe has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+10.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Angels vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Angels vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Angels vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Connor Wong | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Angels vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Houck | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games (+14.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+12.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+5.90 Units / 11% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+3.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 52% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Red Sox have gone 26-21 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 3.77% ROI).
- 26-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 13.83% ROI
- 29-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.35 Units / 22.15% ROI
- 16-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.55 Units / -31.61% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 24-24 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.72% ROI).
- 25-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -3.85% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.5 Units / -4.67% ROI
- 22-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -3.64% ROI
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
8 of Tanner Houck’s 29 breaking pitch strikeouts (28%) were backdoor in 2022 — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
68% of Tanner Houck’s called strikeouts are low since last season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (29/49) against Tanner Houck’s fastball this season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 94th Percentile.
Tanner Houck has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last three games dating back to May 2nd — the longest active streak is 6.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jaime Barria has located his fastball inside 55% of the time (56/102) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .177 (11-for-62) against Jaime Barria on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .327 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .177 (11-for-62) against Jaime Barria on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .328 — 98th Percentile.
Jaime Barria has a strikeout rate of just 22% (30 SO in 137 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 37% — seventh Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Red Sox are just 7-82 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Red Sox are just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are 11-17 (.393) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Red Sox are just 3-17 (.150) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Angels are just 7-17 (.292) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 20-4 (.833) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .448 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
The Red Sox are batting .296 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
The Red Sox are batting .279 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .348 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 108 total hits (just 24%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Angels hitters have just 86 strikeouts in 435 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OBP of just .299 (2,278 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .676 (2,278 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 29 of 415 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.70 (971.0 IP) at home since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 520 times this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 167 of 1,864 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 45 of 424 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Angels pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Angels vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- José Suarez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Quijada (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Logan O’Hoppe (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Austin Warren (Angels): Elbow, D15
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Groin, D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Zachery Kelly (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Red Sox): Wrist, D60
- Justin Turner (Red Sox): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Gregory Mills (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- John Schreiber (Red Sox): Side, D15
- Enmanuel Valdez (Red Sox): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Yu-Cheng Chang (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Red Sox): Knee, D60
- Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): Hamstring, D10
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