Rider vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 27

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Mount St. Mary's head coach Dan Engelstad directs his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Kentucky in Lexington, Ky., Tuesday, Nov. 16, 2021.
(AP Photo/James Crisp)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 27, 2024, 12:42 PM
  • Mount St. Mary’s (8-11) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Rider (7-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Rider / Mount St. Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The Rider Broncs (7-11) visit Knott Arena to take on the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (8-11) on Jan. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Emmitsburg, MD.

Mount St. Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Rider vs. Mount St. Mary’s Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Rider vs. Mount St. Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rider+5.5 -110O 144.5 -110+165
Mount St. Mary’s -5.5 -110U 144.5 -110-200

Rider vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Rider vs Mount St. Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Rider will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Rider has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 15 away games (+0.80 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.45 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Rider Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Rider has a 6-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.05 Units / -30.71% ROI).

  • 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -14.69% ROI
  • 11-7 when betting the Over for +3.3 Units / 16.67% ROI
  • 7-11 when betting the Under for -5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 8-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI).

  • 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -34.64% ROI
  • 12-7 when betting the Over for +4.3 Units / 20.57% ROI
  • 7-12 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -29.67% ROI

Rider Offensive Stats & Trends:

Rider has made 5.2 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Rider has averaged 1.13 points per shot (1,354 points/1,203 shots) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Rider has an eFG% of 46% this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Rider is shooting 44% (1,291/2,949) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.4

Mount St. Mary’s has a 26% free throw rate (750 free throw attempts/2,930 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 30%

Mount St. Mary’s has 14.4 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 17.4

Mount St. Mary’s has a 26% free throw rate (750 free throw attempts/2,930 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 30%

Rider Defensive Stats & Trends:

Rider has averaged 25.4 defensive rebounds per game (482 rebounds/19 games) this season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.4

Rider has allowed an average of 1.52 points per shot (352 points/231 shots) this season — 5th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Rider has allowed 8.2 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.7

Rider has averaged 5.9 steals per game (291 steals/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 3rd best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.9

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,274/2,967) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (477/1,087) this season — 5th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 22.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,189 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 23.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.