Rockies vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 25

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 25, 2024, 12:48 PM

The Colorado Rockies (+125) visit American Family Fields of Phoenix to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Monday, March 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Rockies are 13-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 7-9 ATS.

Rockies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Rockies+125
Brewers -150

Rockies vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.6% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • No trends found

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.60 Units / 49% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 13-7 against the Run Line (-0.15 Units / 21.23% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 44.02% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -14.51% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 5.07% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Brewers are 7-9 against the Run Line (+2.1 Units / -22.14% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / -5.38% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / 7.4% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -15.26% ROI

Dakota Hudson threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (130/242) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson had a strikeout rate of just 13% (45/354) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 64 opportunities (23%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Dakota Hudson had a strike rate of just 57% (202/351) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Colin Rea allowed an OPS of just .458 (81 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .770 — 100th Percentile.

Colin Rea allowed an OPS of .994 (100 PA’s) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .742 — fourth Percentile.

Opponents batted just .246 against Colin Rea (16-for-65) when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 96th Percentile.

Colin Rea had a strikeout rate of just 15% (15/100) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies are just 38-25 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Brewers were 23-0 (1.000) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Brewers were 22-9 (.710) after a home loss in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Brewers were 16-11 (.593) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Brewers won 57% of games in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Brewers hitters slugged just .366 on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Brewers hitters had an OPS of just .695 (4,547 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents batted .288 against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.73 (1443.0 IP) in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.

Brewers pitchers had an ERA of 3.82 (703.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

The Brewers allowed 3.99 runs per game (647/162) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.62.

Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Brewers vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
  • Aaron Ashby (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Out
  • Elvis Peguero (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, Out
  • Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, Out
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.