Rockies vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 9

min read
FILE - Chicago Cubs' Cody Bellinger watches his home run during the third inning of a baseball game against the New York Yankees, July 7, 2023, in New York. There are still some premium free agents available for Major League Baseball teams as the calendar nears March. Two-time Cy Young Winner Blake Snell, six-time All-Star J.D. Martinez and former MVP Cody Bellinger are among the players who haven't found a home. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II, File)
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II, File)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 10:59 AM
  • Rockies / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ

The Colorado Rockies (+135) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Saturday, March 9, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Mesa, AZ.

This season, the Rockies are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 6-5 ATS.

Rockies vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Rockies+135
Cubs -160

Rockies vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s matchup with 56.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Rockies vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.75 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games (+5.40 Units / 180% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
  • Matt Mervis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 7-4 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 25.33% ROI).

  • 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.24 Units / 43.67% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 38.56% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.71 Units / -47.54% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 6-5 against the Run Line (+0.61 Units / 4.17% ROI).

  • 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.93 Units / -14.51% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -30.08% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.57 Units / 21.01% ROI

Dakota Hudson induced opposing hitters to ground into 15 double plays in 64 opportunities (23%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 52% (139/269) against Dakota Hudson in the 2023 season — tied for 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.

Dakota Hudson had a strike rate of just 57% (202/351) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters had a groundball rate of 53% (71/135) against Dakota Hudson in the 2023 season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 91st Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jameson Taillon has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.4 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (146 balls in play) — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 89.8

Jameson Taillon walked 9 of 329 right-handed batters (3%) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon threw breaking pitches 53% of the time (684/1,298) on pitches in the strike zone in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon had a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (457/655) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 98th Percentile.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.

The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Cubs were 27-4 (.871) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.

The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.

The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

Cubs hitters slugged .509 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.

The Cubs batted .167 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

Cubs hitters had an OBP of .337 (3,050 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .324.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Cubs vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
  • Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
  • Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out

Bet now on Rockies vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.