The Colorado Rockies (+145) visit Salt River Fields at Talking Stick to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Wednesday, March 13, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Scottsdale, AZ.
This season, the Rockies are 10-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 5-10 ATS.
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +145 |
| Diamondbacks | -175 |
Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Evan Longoria has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jordan Lawlar has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jordan Lawlar has hit the Singles Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 98 of their last 176 games (+9.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 10-5 against the Run Line (+5.2 Units / 26.65% ROI).
- 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.59 Units / 47.2% ROI
- 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.17 Units / 1.02% ROI
- 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.71 Units / -10.5% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Diamondbacks are 5-10 against the Run Line (-6.35 Units / -34.74% ROI).
- 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.56 Units / -28.93% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.62 Units / -3.76% ROI
- 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -3.93% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
83% of Merrill Kelly’s non-fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.
Merrill Kelly walked 25 of 207 batters (12%) versus the bottom of the order in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Hitters chased 224 of Merrill Kelly’s 463 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 48%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
54 of Merrill Kelly’s 187 strikeouts (29%) came on changeups in the 2023 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Rockies were just 42-25 (.627) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .780.
The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Diamondbacks are just 55-36 (.604) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Diamondbacks are just 116-21 (.847) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Diamondbacks are just 132-13 (.910) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Diamondbacks are just 108-25 (.812) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .871.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have won just 45% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters struck out just 331 times in 1,697 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters put 40% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks hitters slugged just .394 against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Diamondbacks batted just .320 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents batted .288 against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed the 5th hardest ball in play hit (115.8 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,042 times in the 2023 season — 4th most in MLB.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Corbin Martin (Arizona Diamondbacks): Lat, Out
- Chris Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Kevin Ginkel (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, Out
- Scott McGough (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, Out
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
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