The Colorado Rockies (+105) visit Camelback Ranch-Glendale to take on the Chicago White Sox (-125) on Monday, March 11, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Glendale, AZ.
This season, the Rockies are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 3-11 ATS.
Rockies vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +105 |
| White Sox | -125 |
Rockies vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 52.6% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brian Serven has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.90 Units / 78% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+3.65 Units / 183% ROI)
- Eloy Jimenez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Carlos Perez has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Adam Haseley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 82% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+15.78 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 76 away games (+12.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 35 away games (+11.46 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.14 Units / 43% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rockies are 8-5 against the Run Line (+3.2 Units / 19.35% ROI).
- 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.24 Units / 37.22% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.42 Units / 16.72% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.71 Units / -26.26% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the White Sox are 3-11 against the Run Line (-10.11 Units / -60.07% ROI).
- 2-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -64.94% ROI
- 5-8 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.59 Units / -23.4% ROI
- 8-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 16.82% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Freeland allowed a slugging percentage of .732 (52 Total Bases / 71 ABs) on changeups in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .380 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .437 (31-for-71) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Opponents batted .275 (82-for-298) against Kyle Freeland when behind in the count in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .196 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Freeland recorded no strikeouts in 16 PA’s (0% strikeout rate) in close and late situations in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Rockies were just 40-20 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Rockies were just 44-13 (.772) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rockies were just 15-14 (.517) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Rockies are just 60-56 (.517) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The White Sox were just 19-40 (.322) after a win in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The White Sox were just 19-21 (.475) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The White Sox were just 45-14 (.763) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 49% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies won just 53% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
The Rockies have won just 58% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters had an OPS of just .458 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
White Sox had 2,422 quality ABs out of 5,980 total (41% QAB rate) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .293 (2,952 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers had an ERA of 6.13 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rockies pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 18% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 27% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Out
- John Brebbia (Chicago White Sox): Calf, Out
- Michael Soroka (Chicago White Sox): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Luis Robert (Chicago White Sox): Knee, Out
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Personal, Out
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Austin Gomber (Colorado Rockies): Back, Out
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, Out
- Kyle Freeland (Colorado Rockies): Oblique, Out
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, Out
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