Sacramento State vs Idaho Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2024, 11:43 AM
  • Idaho (13-16) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State (12-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
  • Sacramento State / Idaho TV channel: ESPN+

The Sacramento State Hornets (12-17) visit Idaho Central Arena to take on the Idaho Vandals (13-16) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boise, ID.

Idaho is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Sacramento State vs. Idaho Over/Under is 127.5 total points.

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Sacramento State vs. Idaho Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sacramento State+2.5 -110O 127.5 -115+125
Idaho -2.5 -110U 127.5 -105-150

Sacramento State vs Idaho Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Sacramento State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Sacramento State vs Idaho Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Sacramento State will cover the spread with 61.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Idaho has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Idaho have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 26 games (+12.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Idaho has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Idaho has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Idaho has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 12-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.65 Units / -20.88% ROI).

  • 6-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.4 Units / -40.92% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI

Idaho Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Idaho has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.65 Units / -14.58% ROI).

  • 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -3.58% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.39% ROI

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (561 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Sacramento State has averaged 11.1 offensive rebounds per game (256 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 8.0

Sacramento State has 256 offensive rebounds this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has 561 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Idaho Offensive Stats & Trends:

Idaho has averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (230 turnovers/22 games) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Idaho is shooting 46% (1,375/2,987) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 46%

Idaho is shooting 54% from inside the arc (924/1,714) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 53%

Idaho is shooting 72% from the free throw line (257/355) this season — 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 72%

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (103 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Sacramento State has averaged 23.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,309 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Sacramento State has forced 9.1 turnovers per game (210 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Sacramento State has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (3,792 points/3,079 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 1.27

Idaho Defensive Stats & Trends:

Idaho has allowed 70.0 points per game (1,541 points/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 71.7

Idaho has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (528/1,193) this season — tied for 3rd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 45%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.